Crescent Capital Bdc Stock Price Prediction
| CCAP Stock | USD 18.41 0.42 2.33% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.03 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8917 | Wall Street Target Price 19.6667 |
Using Crescent Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crescent Capital BDC from the perspective of Crescent Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crescent Capital using Crescent Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crescent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crescent Capital's stock price.
Crescent Capital Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Crescent Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crescent Capital BDC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crescent Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crescent Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crescent Capital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crescent Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crescent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Crescent Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 18.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Crescent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Crescent Capital BDC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Crescent Capital trading at USD 18.41, that is roughly USD 0.01 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Crescent Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Crescent Capital BDC options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Crescent |
Crescent Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crescent Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crescent Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crescent Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crescent Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crescent Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crescent Capital's historical news coverage. Crescent Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.29 and 19.53, respectively. We have considered Crescent Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crescent Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crescent Capital BDC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crescent Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crescent Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crescent Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crescent Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.41 | 18.41 | 0.00 |
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Crescent Capital Hype Timeline
Crescent Capital BDC is currently traded for 18.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Crescent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crescent Capital is about 11200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.41. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crescent Capital BDC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Crescent Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Crescent Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crescent Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crescent Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Crescent Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crescent Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 2.03 | (3.17) | 7.39 | |
| TPVG | Triplepoint Venture Growth | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.05 | 0.05 | 2.54 | (2.11) | 11.46 | |
| TSLX | Sixth Street Specialty | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1.69 | (0.94) | 3.34 | |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.67 | 0.14 | 1.36 | (1.11) | 3.96 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.09 | 1.26 | (1.51) | 4.09 | |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.44 | 0.30 | 1.38 | (0.97) | 3.18 | |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.15 | 1.72 | (1.41) | 5.90 | |
| WHF | WhiteHorse Finance | 0.20 | 10 per month | 1.08 | 0.17 | 1.58 | (1.90) | 5.82 | |
| MRCC | Monroe Capital Corp | (0.09) | 11 per month | 1.05 | 0.12 | 1.60 | (1.79) | 6.08 | |
| PTMN | Portman Ridge Finance | 0.29 | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.06 | 1.05 | (1.20) | 4.76 | |
| DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | (0.39) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.43 | (2.53) | 5.44 |
Crescent Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crescent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crescent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crescent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Crescent Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Crescent Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crescent Capital BDC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crescent Capital based on analysis of Crescent Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crescent Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crescent Capital's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.14 | 0.1 | 0.0554 | Price To Sales Ratio | 19.52 | 3.39 | 8.1 |
Story Coverage note for Crescent Capital
The number of cover stories for Crescent Capital depends on current market conditions and Crescent Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crescent Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crescent Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crescent Capital Short Properties
Crescent Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crescent Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crescent Capital BDC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crescent Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crescent Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -75.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.33 | |
| Shares Float | 28 M |
Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis
When running Crescent Capital's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.