Bankfinancial Stock Price Prediction
| BFIN Stock | USD 13.43 0.05 0.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.71 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.78 | Wall Street Target Price 12.25 |
Using BankFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BankFinancial from the perspective of BankFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BankFinancial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BankFinancial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BankFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 13.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BankFinancial |
BankFinancial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BankFinancial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BankFinancial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BankFinancial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BankFinancial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BankFinancial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BankFinancial's historical news coverage. BankFinancial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.43 and 15.19, respectively. We have considered BankFinancial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BankFinancial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BankFinancial is based on 3 months time horizon.
BankFinancial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BankFinancial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BankFinancial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BankFinancial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.88 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.43 | 13.31 | 0.52 |
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BankFinancial Hype Timeline
BankFinancial is currently traded for 13.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. BankFinancial is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on BankFinancial is about 1253.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.46. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BankFinancial last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out BankFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BankFinancial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BankFinancial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BankFinancial's future price movements. Getting to know how BankFinancial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BankFinancial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
BankFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BankFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BankFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze BankFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About BankFinancial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BankFinancial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BankFinancial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BankFinancial based on analysis of BankFinancial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BankFinancial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BankFinancial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0375 | 0.038 | 0.039 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.03 | 2.42 | 2.32 | 2.2 |
Story Coverage note for BankFinancial
The number of cover stories for BankFinancial depends on current market conditions and BankFinancial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BankFinancial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BankFinancial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BankFinancial Short Properties
BankFinancial's future price predictability will typically decrease when BankFinancial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BankFinancial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BankFinancial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BankFinancial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 178.5 M |
Check out BankFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in BankFinancial Stock, please use our How to Invest in BankFinancial guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BankFinancial. If investors know BankFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BankFinancial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 0.63 | Revenue Per Share 4.355 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
The market value of BankFinancial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BankFinancial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BankFinancial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BankFinancial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BankFinancial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BankFinancial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BankFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BankFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BankFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.