Correlation Between United Fire and NI Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both United Fire and NI Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining United Fire and NI Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between United Fire Group and NI Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on United Fire and NI Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in United Fire with a short position of NI Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of United Fire and NI Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for United Fire and NI Holdings

-0.01
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between United and NODK is -0.01. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding United Fire Group and NI Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NI Holdings and United Fire is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on United Fire Group are associated (or correlated) with NI Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NI Holdings has no effect on the direction of United Fire i.e., United Fire and NI Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between United Fire and NI Holdings

Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Fire Group is expected to generate 1.28 times more return on investment than NI Holdings. However, United Fire is 1.28 times more volatile than NI Holdings. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NI Holdings is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,832  in United Fire Group on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  140.00  from holding United Fire Group or generate 4.94% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

United Fire Group  vs.  NI Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
United Fire Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, United Fire is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
NI Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NI Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

United Fire and NI Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with United Fire and NI Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite United Fire and NI Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if United Fire position performs unexpectedly, NI Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NI Holdings will offset losses from the drop in NI Holdings' long position.
The idea behind United Fire Group and NI Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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