Correlation Between Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Smurfit WestRock plc and Ardagh Metal Packaging, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Smurfit WestRock with a short position of Ardagh Metal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal.

Diversification Opportunities for Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal

-0.59

Correlation Coefficient

Smurfit WestRock  Ardagh Metal

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Smurfit and Ardagh is -0.59. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Smurfit WestRock plc and Ardagh Metal Packaging in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ardagh Metal Packaging and Smurfit WestRock is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Smurfit WestRock plc are associated (or correlated) with Ardagh Metal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ardagh Metal Packaging has no effect on the direction of Smurfit WestRock i.e., Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Smurfit WestRock plc is expected to generate 0.7 times more return on investment than Ardagh Metal. However, Smurfit WestRock plc is 1.43 times less risky than Ardagh Metal. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ardagh Metal Packaging is currently generating about -0.35 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,502  in Smurfit WestRock plc on September 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (67.00) from holding Smurfit WestRock plc or give up 1.22% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Smurfit WestRock plc  vs.  Ardagh Metal Packaging

Smurfit WestRock plc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Smurfit WestRock plc are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile basic indicators, Smurfit WestRock may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Ardagh Metal Packaging

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ardagh Metal Packaging has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Pair Trading with Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Smurfit WestRock and Ardagh Metal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Smurfit WestRock position performs unexpectedly, Ardagh Metal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh Metal will offset losses from the drop in Ardagh Metal's long position.

The idea behind Smurfit WestRock plc and Ardagh Metal Packaging pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.