Smurfit Westrock Plc Stock Price Prediction
| SW Stock | 45.71 0.29 0.63% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.73 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0577 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.51 | Wall Street Target Price 60.5 |
Using Smurfit WestRock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smurfit WestRock plc from the perspective of Smurfit WestRock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smurfit WestRock using Smurfit WestRock's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smurfit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smurfit WestRock's stock price.
Smurfit WestRock Short Interest
An investor who is long Smurfit WestRock may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Smurfit WestRock and may potentially protect profits, hedge Smurfit WestRock with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 48.9527 | Short Ratio 6.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.9 M | 50 Day MA 53.871 | Shares Short 15.8 M |
Smurfit WestRock plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Smurfit WestRock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Smurfit. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Smurfit can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Smurfit WestRock plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Smurfit WestRock's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Smurfit WestRock.
Smurfit WestRock Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Smurfit WestRock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smurfit WestRock plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smurfit WestRock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smurfit WestRock stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smurfit WestRock's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smurfit WestRock to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smurfit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smurfit WestRock after-hype prediction price | USD 45.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Smurfit contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Smurfit WestRock plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Smurfit WestRock trading at USD 45.71, that is roughly USD 0.02 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Smurfit WestRock's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Smurfit WestRock plc options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Smurfit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smurfit WestRock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smurfit WestRock After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smurfit WestRock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smurfit WestRock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smurfit WestRock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smurfit WestRock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smurfit WestRock's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smurfit WestRock's historical news coverage. Smurfit WestRock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.59 and 48.31, respectively. We have considered Smurfit WestRock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smurfit WestRock is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smurfit WestRock plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smurfit WestRock Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smurfit WestRock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smurfit WestRock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smurfit WestRock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.36 | 0.24 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.71 | 45.95 | 0.53 |
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Smurfit WestRock Hype Timeline
As of March 21, 2025 Smurfit WestRock plc is listed for 45.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Smurfit is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 45.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Smurfit WestRock is about 3841.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.72. The company generated the yearly revenue of 21.11 B. Reported Net Income was 319 M with gross profit of 3.45 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Smurfit WestRock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smurfit WestRock Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smurfit WestRock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smurfit WestRock's future price movements. Getting to know how Smurfit WestRock's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smurfit WestRock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STGW | Stagwell | 0.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.32 | (3.70) | 13.39 | |
| CHR | Cheer Holding | (0.10) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.73 | (6.69) | 21.19 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.04 | (2.90) | 10.27 | |
| CC | Chemours Co | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.21 | (5.02) | 18.10 | |
| TSQ | Townsquare Media | (0.25) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.49 | (3.27) | 9.99 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.89 | (2.40) | 8.24 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.20 | 8 per month | 2.55 | 0.18 | 5.01 | (4.39) | 13.50 |
Smurfit WestRock Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smurfit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smurfit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smurfit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smurfit WestRock Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smurfit WestRock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smurfit WestRock plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smurfit WestRock based on analysis of Smurfit WestRock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smurfit WestRock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smurfit WestRock's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0392 | 0.0416 | 0.0238 | 0.0363 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.66 | 0.78 | 1.3 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Smurfit WestRock
The number of cover stories for Smurfit WestRock depends on current market conditions and Smurfit WestRock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smurfit WestRock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smurfit WestRock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smurfit WestRock Short Properties
Smurfit WestRock's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smurfit WestRock's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smurfit WestRock plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smurfit WestRock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smurfit WestRock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 260 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 855 M |
Additional Tools for Smurfit Stock Analysis
When running Smurfit WestRock's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit WestRock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit WestRock is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit WestRock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit WestRock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit WestRock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit WestRock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.