Correlation Between Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Harley Davidson with a short position of Biglari Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings

0.41
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Harley and Biglari is 0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Biglari Holdings and Harley Davidson is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Harley Davidson are associated (or correlated) with Biglari Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Biglari Holdings has no effect on the direction of Harley Davidson i.e., Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Harley Davidson is expected to under-perform the Biglari Holdings. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Harley Davidson is 1.07 times less risky than Biglari Holdings. The stock trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Biglari Holdings is currently generating about -0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  24,370  in Biglari Holdings on December 19, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,570) from holding Biglari Holdings or give up 14.65% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Harley Davidson  vs.  Biglari Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Harley Davidson 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Harley Davidson has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Biglari Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Biglari Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Harley Davidson position performs unexpectedly, Biglari Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Biglari Holdings will offset losses from the drop in Biglari Holdings' long position.
The idea behind Harley Davidson and Biglari Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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