Correlation Between Home Federal and Evans Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Evans Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Evans Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Evans Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Evans Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Evans Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Evans Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Evans Bancorp

-0.04
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Evans is -0.04. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Evans Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Evans Bancorp and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Evans Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Evans Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Evans Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Evans Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 40.44 times more return on investment than Evans Bancorp. However, Home Federal is 40.44 times more volatile than Evans Bancorp. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Evans Bancorp is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,102  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  187.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 16.97% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy92.17%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Evans Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Evans Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Evans Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting fundamental drivers, Evans Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Home Federal and Evans Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Evans Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Evans Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Evans Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Evans Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Evans Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Evans Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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