Correlation Between First Northwest and Home Federal

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Home Federal

0.32

Correlation Coefficient

First Northwest  Home Federal

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Home is 0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest is expected to generate 8.86 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Northwest Bancorp is 1.48 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,242  in Home Federal Bancorp on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 5.31% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	78.33%
Values	Daily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

First Northwest Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Home Federal Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Home Federal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.

The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.