Correlation Between First Northwest and Evans Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Evans Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Evans Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Evans Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Evans Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Evans Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Evans Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Evans Bancorp

0.46

Correlation Coefficient

First Northwest  Evans Bancorp

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Evans is 0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Evans Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Evans Bancorp and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Evans Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Evans Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Evans Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Evans Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Evans Bancorp. In addition to that, First Northwest is 1.01 times more volatile than Evans Bancorp. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Evans Bancorp is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,555  in Evans Bancorp on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,852  from holding Evans Bancorp or generate 72.49% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Evans Bancorp

First Northwest Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Evans Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Evans Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting fundamental drivers, Evans Bancorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Evans Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Evans Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Evans Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Evans Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Evans Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Evans Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.