Duolingo Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis
| DUOL Stock | USD 309.30 3.13 1.02% |
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Duolingo. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Duolingo over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Duolingo's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Duolingo's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta 1.21 | Alpha 0.0229 | Risk 4.18 | Sharpe Ratio (0.01) | Expected Return (0.06) |
Enterprise Value |
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Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
Duolingo |
Duolingo Market Premiums
Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Duolingo market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Duolingo long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Duolingo. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Duolingo's performance over market.| α | 0.02 | β | 1.21 |
Duolingo expected buy-and-hold returns
Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Duolingo's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Duolingo performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.Duolingo Market Price Analysis
Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Duolingo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duolingo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Duolingo stock market price indicators, traders can identify Duolingo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Duolingo Return and Market Media
The median price of Duolingo for the period between Mon, Dec 23, 2024 and Sun, Mar 23, 2025 is 337.28 with a coefficient of variation of 12.43. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 42.6, arithmetic mean of 342.63, and mean deviation of 33.81. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period. Price Growth (%) |
| Timeline |
1 | Disposition of 120000 shares by Von Ahn Luis of Duolingo subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 5000 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Severin Hacker of 10000 shares of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/24/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1331 shares by Stephen Chen of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2025 |
5 | Duolingo, Inc. Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note | 02/14/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 260 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 435.4238 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/19/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 372 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 431.4042 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/21/2025 |
8 | Duolingo shares dip despite Q4 revenue beat, strong guidance | 02/27/2025 |
9 | Duolingo offers upbeat revenue forecast as Q4 tops estimates shares still tank | 02/28/2025 |
10 | Disposition of 100 shares by Severin Hacker of Duolingo at 294.74 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/05/2025 |
11 | Acquisition by Severin Hacker of 10000 shares of Duolingo subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/06/2025 |
12 | AGF Management Ltd. Has 86.17 Million Position in Duolingo, Inc. | 03/11/2025 |
13 | Duolingo Inc Stock Price Down 5.37 percent on Mar 13 | 03/13/2025 |
14 | Disposition of 100 shares by Von Ahn Luis of Duolingo at 301.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/17/2025 |
15 | Buy this language app stock thats set to rally more than 30, JMP says | 03/18/2025 |
16 | Disposition of 252 shares by Severin Hacker of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/19/2025 |
17 | Duolingo, Inc. Increases Despite Market Slip Heres What You Need to Know | 03/20/2025 |
About Duolingo Beta and Alpha
For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Duolingo or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Duolingo has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
| 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | |
| Payables Turnover | 84.48 | 31.91 | 27.96 |
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 128.63 | 115.77 | 121.56 |
Duolingo Upcoming Company Events
As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Duolingo's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Duolingo's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Duolingo's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Duolingo. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Duolingo's management manipulating its earnings.
| 27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
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Check out Duolingo Backtesting, Duolingo Valuation, Duolingo Correlation, Duolingo Hype Analysis, Duolingo Volatility, Duolingo History and analyze Duolingo Performance. For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Duolingo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.