Duolingo Stock Performance

DUOL Stock  USD 312.07  63.71  16.95%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.41, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Duolingo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Duolingo is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Duolingo has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to confirm Duolingo's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Duolingo performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days Duolingo has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(16.95)
Five Day Return
(20.04)
Year To Date Return
(4.24)
Ten Year Return
124.49
All Time Return
124.49
1
Insider Trading
12/05/2024
2
Disposition of 275 shares by Stephen Chen of Duolingo at 307.0355 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/06/2024
3
Disposition of 120000 shares by Von Ahn Luis of Duolingo subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2024
4
Disposition of 5000 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2025
5
Duolingo Inc Chart Analysis
01/21/2025
6
Acquisition by Severin Hacker of 10000 shares of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/24/2025
7
Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move Duolingo Stock
01/31/2025
8
Disposition of 1331 shares by Stephen Chen of Duolingo at 14.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2025
9
FMR LLC Increases Stake in Duolingo Inc with Significant Share Acquisition
02/07/2025
10
Baillie Gifford Reduces Stake in Duolingo Inc Analyzing the Implications
02/12/2025
11
Duolingo, Inc. Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note
02/14/2025
12
Disposition of 260 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 435.4238 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/19/2025
13
Duolingo, Inc. Insider Natalie Glance Sells 2,667 Shares of Stock
02/20/2025
14
Disposition of 372 shares by Matthew Skaruppa of Duolingo at 431.4042 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/21/2025
15
Curious about Duolingo Q4 Performance Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
02/24/2025
16
Duolingo Q4 Earnings What To Expect
02/26/2025
17
Why Duolingo Stock Is Dropping Today
02/28/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow608.2 M
  

Duolingo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  34,652  in Duolingo on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,445) from holding Duolingo or give up 9.94% of portfolio value over 90 days. Duolingo is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7759% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Duolingo, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Duolingo is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Duolingo Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Duolingo's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Duolingo, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Duolingo's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0269

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Negative ReturnsDUOL

Estimated Market Risk

 3.78
  actual daily
33
67% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Duolingo is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Duolingo by adding Duolingo to a well-diversified portfolio.

Duolingo Fundamentals Growth

Duolingo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Duolingo, and Duolingo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Duolingo Stock performance.

About Duolingo Performance

By examining Duolingo's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Duolingo's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Duolingo is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 115.77  121.56 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.11 

Things to note about Duolingo performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duolingo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Duolingo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duolingo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Duolingo has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Duolingo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Why Duolingo Stock Is Dropping Today
Evaluating Duolingo's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Duolingo's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Duolingo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Duolingo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Duolingo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Duolingo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Duolingo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Duolingo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Duolingo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Duolingo's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Duolingo's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Duolingo is a strong investment it is important to analyze Duolingo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Duolingo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Duolingo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duolingo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duolingo. If investors know Duolingo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duolingo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
7.167
Earnings Share
1.82
Revenue Per Share
16.035
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.399
Return On Assets
0.0325
The market value of Duolingo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duolingo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duolingo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duolingo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duolingo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duolingo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duolingo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duolingo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duolingo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.