Smith Micro Software Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SMSI Stock | USD 1.37 0.02 1.48% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Smith Micro Software is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Smith Micro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Smith Micro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Smith and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Smith Micro Software. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Smith |
Execute Smith Micro Buy or Sell Advice
The Smith recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smith Micro Software. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smith Micro Software or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smith Micro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Smith Micro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Smith Micro Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Smith Micro Software may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Smith Micro Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.1 M. | |
| Smith Micro Software currently holds about 5.36 M in cash with (6.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Smith Micro Software has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Smith Micro Software Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Thursday |
Smith Micro Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Smith Micro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smith Micro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smith Micro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smith Micro Software price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smith Micro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Smith Micro.
| Mean Return | 1.24 | Value At Risk | -9.56 | Potential Upside | 15.79 | Standard Deviation | 8.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smith Micro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Smith Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Integrated Wealth Concepts Llc | 2024-09-30 | 23.5 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 20.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 16.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 13.5 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 13.5 K | Citigroup Inc | 2024-12-31 | 10.3 K | Lindbrook Capital, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 9.2 K | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 K | Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 521 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 138 K |
Smith Micro Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (197K) | 417K | 1.9M | 16.3M | 18.8M | 19.7M | |
| Change In Cash | (2.5M) | (9.7M) | (2.1M) | (6.9M) | (6.2M) | (5.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 6.6M | (13.7M) | (19.3M) | (7.0M) | (6.3M) | (6.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.6M | 9.3M | 7.6M | 7.4M | 8.5M | 8.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 358K | 13.9M | (197K) | 5.6M | 6.4M | 6.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.3M | 830K | 49K | 4K | 4.6K | 4.4K | |
| Net Income | 4.2M | (31.0M) | (29.3M) | (24.4M) | (22.0M) | (20.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 25.8M | 16.1M | 14.0M | 7.1M | 8.2M | 7.8M | |
| Investments | (225K) | (57.5M) | 115K | 172K | 154.8K | 162.5K | |
| Change Receivables | (3.8M) | (1.3M) | 7.9M | 85K | 76.5K | 72.7K | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.3M | 2.5M | 17.7M | 5.0M | 4.5M | 4.3M |
Smith Micro Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smith Micro or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smith Micro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smith stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Smith Micro Volatility Alert
Smith Micro Software is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smith Micro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smith Micro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Smith Micro Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Smith Micro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smith Micro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smith Micro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smith Micro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smith Micro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith Micro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Smith Micro to competition |
| Fundamentals | Smith Micro | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.89 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.24 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (2.11) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.40) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 25.37 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.74 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 454.87 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.50 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.63 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 40.86 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 17.1 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (10.49 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (24.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.26 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.91 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.18 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.97 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.10 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (5.09) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 4.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 231 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 23.94 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 85.58 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (305.95 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.24 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 21.79 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Elfman Steven Lawrence of 25000 shares of Smith Micro subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Smith Micro Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smith . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Smith Micro Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Smith Micro Software? Buying financial instruments such as Smith Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Smith Micro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials Thematic Idea Now
Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Smith Micro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Micro. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smith Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share (5.09) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.58) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Smith Micro Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smith that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smith Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smith Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smith Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smith Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.