Is Smith Micro Stock a Good Investment?

Smith Micro Investment Advice

  SMSI
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Smith Micro Software stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Smith Micro Software. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Smith Micro in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Smith Micro's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Smith Micro's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Smith Micro navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Smith Micro's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Smith Micro's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Smith Micro is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Smith Micro pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Smith Micro's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Smith Micro Software stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Smith Micro Software is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Smith Micro. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Smith Micro Software is not overpriced, please validate all Smith Micro fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . As Smith Micro Software appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to double-check its number of shares shorted numbers.

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Smith Micro Stock

Researching Smith Micro's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Smith Micro Software recorded a loss per share of 4.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of August 2016. The firm had 1:8 split on the 11th of April 2024.
To determine if Smith Micro is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Smith Micro's research are outlined below:
Smith Micro Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Smith Micro Software has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Smith Micro Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Smith Micro Software has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.3 M.
Smith Micro Software currently holds about 5.36 M in cash with (6.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Smith Micro Software has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Smith Micro Software faces Nasdaq delisting over share price
Smith Micro uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Smith Micro Software. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Smith Micro's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
9th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Smith Micro's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Smith Micro's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-03-10
2021-12-31-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2021-05-05
2021-03-310.010.020.01100 
2020-03-05
2019-12-310.070.080.0114 
2019-05-08
2019-03-310.010.020.01100 
2015-07-27
2015-06-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2023-05-11
2023-03-31-0.08-0.060.0225 
2020-08-05
2020-06-300.050.070.0240 
2020-05-06
2020-03-310.080.10.0225 

Know Smith Micro's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Smith Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smith Micro Software backward and forwards among themselves. Smith Micro's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Smith Micro's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
11.4 K
Lindbrook Capital, Llc2024-09-30
9.2 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
8.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
7.7 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2024-06-30
5.7 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
862
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
812
West Paces Advisors Inc2024-09-30
346
Steward Partners Investment Advisory, Llc2024-06-30
183
Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc2024-09-30
234.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
90.8 K
Note, although Smith Micro's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Smith Micro's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 15.33 M.

Market Cap

126.74 Million

Smith Micro's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.16)(1.10)
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.24)
Return On Assets(0.29)(0.30)
Return On Equity(0.32)(0.34)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.63) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.36) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $1.36.
Determining Smith Micro's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Smith Micro is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Smith Micro's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Smith Micro's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Smith Micro's management efficiency

Smith Micro Software has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1889) % which means that it has lost $0.1889 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.8481) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Smith Micro's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Smith Micro manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Smith Micro's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to -1.1. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.24. As of now, Smith Micro's Intangibles To Total Assets are increasing as compared to previous years.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.39  7.37 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.35  1.28 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(4.69)(4.45)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.70  0.67 
Enterprise Value Multiple(4.69)(4.45)
Price Fair Value 0.70  0.67 
Enterprise Value132.7 M126.1 M
Leadership at Smith Micro emphasizes sustainable growth and financial prudence. Our analysis evaluates how these priorities impact the stock's performance in the market.
Beta
0.737

Basic technical analysis of Smith Stock

As of the 30th of November, Smith Micro has the Semi Deviation of 4.2, risk adjusted performance of 0.0663, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1346.28. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Smith Micro Software, as well as the relationship between them.

Smith Micro's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Smith Micro insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Smith Micro's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Smith Micro insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Smith Micro's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Smith Micro issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Smith Micro Software uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Smith bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Smith Micro Software has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Smith Micro's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Smith Micro's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Smith Micro's intraday indicators

Smith Micro intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Smith Micro stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Smith Micro time-series forecasting models is one of many Smith Micro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Smith Micro's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Smith Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Smith Micro that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Smith media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Smith internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Smith data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Smith Micro news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Smith Micro relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Smith Micro's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Smith Micro alpha.

Smith Micro Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Smith Micro can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Smith Micro Corporate Management

When determining whether Smith Micro Software offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Smith Micro's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Smith Micro Software Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Smith Micro Software Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Smith Micro Software. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Micro. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smith Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Earnings Share
(4.94)
Revenue Per Share
3.252
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.50)
Return On Assets
(0.19)
The market value of Smith Micro Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smith that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smith Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smith Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smith Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smith Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Smith Micro's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Smith Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.