Lichen China Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LICN Stock | 4.45 0.10 2.30% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lichen China Limited is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lichen China's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Lichen China Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lichen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lichen China Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Lichen |
Execute Lichen China Buy or Sell Advice
The Lichen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lichen China Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lichen China Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lichen China's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves completely opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Lichen China Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lichen China Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lichen China Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lichen China Limitedhas 679,431 shares shorted by Lichen China investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| Lichen China Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: LICN stock touches 52-week low at 4.5 amid sharp annual decline - Investing.com |
Lichen China Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lichen China's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lichen China's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lichen China daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lichen China Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lichen China returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lichen China.
| Mean Return | 226.14 | Value At Risk | -22.45 | Potential Upside | 10.96 | Standard Deviation | 445.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lichen China historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lichen China Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 3.3M | 8.2M | 5.8M | 3.3M | 3.7M | 4.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 7.2M | 7.3M | 7.9M | (4.7M) | (4.2M) | (4.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.2M | 2.4M | 2.7M | 2.9M | 3.4M | 2.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 87K | 63K | 50K | 72K | 64.8K | 61.6K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.2M | 28K | 2.8M | 7.8M | 7.0M | 3.6M | |
| Net Income | 6.4M | 8.5M | 7.8M | 8.3M | 9.6M | 8.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 8.7M | 16.8M | 22.6M | 25.9M | 29.7M | 17.5M |
Lichen China Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lichen China or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lichen China's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lichen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 179.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -426.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 128.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Lichen China Volatility Alert
Lichen China Limited is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lichen China's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lichen China's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lichen China Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lichen China's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lichen China's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lichen China and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lichen China or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lichen China's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lichen China by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lichen China to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lichen China | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (31.5 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 554.17 K | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.61 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 679.43 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.04 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 39.76 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 25.46 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 15.18 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.34 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 129 K | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 369.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 557 K | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.12 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 60.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 406 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.67 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 65.55 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 48.22 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 36.04 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 65.55 M |
Lichen China Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lichen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lichen China Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lichen China Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Lichen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Lichen China Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lichen China. If investors know Lichen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lichen China listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Earnings Share 60 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Lichen China Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lichen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lichen China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lichen China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lichen China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lichen China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lichen China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lichen China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lichen China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.