Lichen China Limited Stock Beneish M Score

LICN Stock   0.05  0.02  32.66%   
This module uses fundamental data of Lichen China to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Lichen China M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Lichen China Piotroski F Score and Lichen China Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 27th of February 2025, Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 223.7 K, while Net Debt is likely to drop (24.3 M). At this time, Lichen China's Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 27th of February 2025, Capex To Revenue is likely to grow to 0.19, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.42.
At this time, it appears that Lichen China Limited is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Lichen China's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Lichen China executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Lichen China's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.75
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.89

Focus
Asset Quality

1.22

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.04

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.03

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.04

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.16

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.82

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.63

Focus

Lichen China Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Lichen China's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.8 M5.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue37.4 M45.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets47.8 M75.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets24.3 M46.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total23.5 M29.2 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment11.9 M12.2 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization2.7 M3.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative8.8 M10.3 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities4.2 M3.7 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total29.1 K30.6 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt81.2 K85.5 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income11.6 M14.1 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities476.2 K501.3 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.720.7
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable

Lichen China Limited Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Lichen China's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Lichen China in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Lichen China's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Lichen China Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.74 Million

At this time, Lichen China's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Lichen China Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Lichen China. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables2.8M4.4M3.5M4.5M5.1M3.8M
Total Revenue30.7M34.3M33.8M39.8M45.7M37.4M
Total Assets33.3M42.9M46.5M65.5M75.4M47.8M
Total Current Assets11.7M23.9M27.3M40.1M46.2M24.3M
Net Debt(8.3M)(16.5M)(22.3M)(25.7M)(23.2M)(24.3M)
Short Term Debt337K345K88K95K85.5K81.2K
Operating Income8.8M11.3M10.6M12.3M14.1M11.6M

About Lichen China Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Lichen China Limited's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Lichen China using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lichen China Limited based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Lichen China

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lichen China position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lichen China will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Lichen Stock

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Moving against Lichen Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lichen China could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lichen China when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lichen China - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lichen China Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Lichen China is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lichen China moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lichen China Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lichen China can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Lichen China Limited offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lichen China's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lichen China Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lichen China Limited Stock:
Check out Lichen China Piotroski F Score and Lichen China Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lichen China. If investors know Lichen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lichen China listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Earnings Share
0.3
Revenue Per Share
1.491
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.136
Return On Assets
0.1078
The market value of Lichen China Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lichen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lichen China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lichen China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lichen China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lichen China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lichen China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lichen China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lichen China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.