Bancfirst Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BANF Stock | USD 116.73 0.74 0.63% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BancFirst is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides BancFirst buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BANF positions.
Check out BancFirst Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in BancFirst Stock please use our How to Invest in BancFirst guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BancFirst and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. BancFirst. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
BancFirst |
Execute BancFirst Buy or Sell Advice
The BancFirst recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BancFirst. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BancFirst or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BancFirst's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
BancFirst Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| BancFirst generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BancFirst Co. Short Interest Down 10.3 percent in January - MarketBeat |
BancFirst Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BancFirst's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BancFirst's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BancFirst daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BancFirst price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BancFirst returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BancFirst.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 2.14 | Standard Deviation | 1.55 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BancFirst historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BancFirst Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-12-31 | 240.1 K | Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 227.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 227.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 220.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 187.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 186.1 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 109.3 K | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 106.8 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 105.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M |
BancFirst Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (251.4M) | 433.1M | 1.1B | (771.4M) | (887.2M) | (842.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 87.9M | 162.5M | 206.5M | 210.5M | 242.1M | 254.2M | |
| Depreciation | 18.4M | 20.0M | 22.0M | 22.2M | 25.5M | 26.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 46.3M | (10.7M) | 22.6M | 336K | 386.4K | 367.1K | |
| Dividends Paid | 42.5M | 45.1M | 48.5M | (53.6M) | (61.7M) | (58.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 66.4M | 27.3M | 19.8M | 22.5M | 25.9M | 16.5M | |
| Net Income | 99.6M | 167.6M | 193.1M | 212.5M | 244.3M | 256.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.6B | 2.1B | 3.2B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.9B | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.6M | 617K | (3.2M) | (7.7M) | (6.9M) | (7.3M) | |
| Investments | (855.2M) | 463.0M | (1.6B) | (669.7M) | (602.7M) | (572.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | 887K | (325K) | 4.2M | (16.9M) | (15.2M) | (14.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 775K | (575K) | 58.1M | 300K | 345K | 327.8K | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.3M | 38.0M | (4.8M) | 23.7M | 27.3M | 28.6M |
BancFirst Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BancFirst or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BancFirst's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BancFirst stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
BancFirst Volatility Alert
BancFirst exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.43 and kurtosis of 0.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BancFirst's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BancFirst's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BancFirst Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BancFirst's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BancFirst's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BancFirst and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BancFirst or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BancFirst's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BancFirst by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BancFirst to competition |
| Fundamentals | BancFirst | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0164 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.49 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 974.2 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 33.22 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 30.91 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 55.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 518.4 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 28.20 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.41 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.27 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 623.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 622.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 292.14 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 212.47 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.94 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 119.79 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 86.1 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 233.04 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.81 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.08 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 125.67 | |
| Beta | 1.06 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.37 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.28 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 12.37 B |
Note: Disposition of 1867 shares by David Rainbolt of BancFirst at 110.2072 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
BancFirst Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BancFirst . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1065.62 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 116.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.60) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.74) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.58 |
About BancFirst Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BancFirst? Buying financial instruments such as BancFirst Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out BancFirst Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in BancFirst Stock please use our How to Invest in BancFirst guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BancFirst. If investors know BancFirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BancFirst listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 1.78 | Earnings Share 6.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
The market value of BancFirst is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BancFirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BancFirst's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BancFirst's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BancFirst's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BancFirst's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BancFirst's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BancFirst is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BancFirst's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.