Geo Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.92

GEO Stock  USD 29.20  2.25  8.35%   
Geo's future price is the expected price of Geo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Geo Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Geo Backtesting, Geo Valuation, Geo Correlation, Geo Hype Analysis, Geo Volatility, Geo History as well as Geo Performance.
  
As of the 5th of December 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.52. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 11.69. Please specify Geo's target price for which you would like Geo odds to be computed.

Geo Target Price Odds to finish over 33.92

The tendency of Geo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 33.92  or more in 90 days
 29.20 90 days 33.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geo to move over $ 33.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Geo Group probability density function shows the probability of Geo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geo Group price to stay between its current price of $ 29.20  and $ 33.92  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.8 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.84 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Geo will likely underperform. Additionally Geo Group has an alpha of 0.6919, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Geo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Geo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geo Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.1929.4035.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4821.6932.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9625.1731.38
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.5913.8315.35
Details

Geo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geo Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.84
σ
Overall volatility
6.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Geo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geo Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geo Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Geo Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Geo Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from abcnews.go.com: Lobbying firm with close ties to Trump is poised to profit from new administration, experts say

Geo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments94 M

Geo Technical Analysis

Geo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geo Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Geo Predictive Forecast Models

Geo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Geo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Geo Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Geo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geo Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Geo Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Geo Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Geo Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from abcnews.go.com: Lobbying firm with close ties to Trump is poised to profit from new administration, experts say
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Geo Backtesting, Geo Valuation, Geo Correlation, Geo Hype Analysis, Geo Volatility, Geo History as well as Geo Performance.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.188
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
18.972
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
Return On Assets
0.0555
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.