Credicorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 191.87

BAP Stock  USD 195.17  4.17  2.18%   
Credicorp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Credicorp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Credicorp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Credicorp over a specific time period. For example, BAP Option Call 20-12-2024 195 is a CALL option contract on Credicorp's common stock with a strick price of 195.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-02 at 14:53:02 for $2.3 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $4.3. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All Credicorp options

Closest to current price Credicorp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Credicorp's future price is the expected price of Credicorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Credicorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Credicorp Backtesting, Credicorp Valuation, Credicorp Correlation, Credicorp Hype Analysis, Credicorp Volatility, Credicorp History as well as Credicorp Performance.
To learn how to invest in Credicorp Stock, please use our How to Invest in Credicorp guide.
  
At this time, Credicorp's Price Fair Value is relatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Credicorp's target price for which you would like Credicorp odds to be computed.

Credicorp Target Price Odds to finish over 191.87

The tendency of Credicorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 191.87  in 90 days
 195.17 90 days 191.87 
about 14.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Credicorp to stay above $ 191.87  in 90 days from now is about 14.9 (This Credicorp probability density function shows the probability of Credicorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Credicorp price to stay between $ 191.87  and its current price of $195.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Credicorp has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Credicorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Credicorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Credicorp has an alpha of 0.1445, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Credicorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Credicorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Credicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
191.26192.62193.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
174.83176.19212.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
186.27187.63188.99
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
148.39163.07181.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Credicorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Credicorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Credicorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Credicorp.

Credicorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Credicorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Credicorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Credicorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Credicorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
6.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Credicorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Credicorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Credicorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of October 2024 Credicorp paid $ 2.9391 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Australia stocks lower at close of trade SPASX 200 down 0.64

Credicorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Credicorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Credicorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credicorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments66.6 B

Credicorp Technical Analysis

Credicorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Credicorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Credicorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Credicorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Credicorp Predictive Forecast Models

Credicorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Credicorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Credicorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Credicorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Credicorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Credicorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of October 2024 Credicorp paid $ 2.9391 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Australia stocks lower at close of trade SPASX 200 down 0.64

Additional Tools for Credicorp Stock Analysis

When running Credicorp's price analysis, check to measure Credicorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credicorp is operating at the current time. Most of Credicorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credicorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credicorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credicorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.