First Keystone Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| FKYS Stock | USD 14.25 0.24 1.66% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Keystone Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.29. First Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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First Keystone 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of First Keystone Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Keystone's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
First Keystone Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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First Keystone Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting First Keystone's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Keystone's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.19 and 18.91, respectively. We have considered First Keystone's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Keystone pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Keystone pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.3257 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2677 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.628 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0428 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.2863 |
Predictive Modules for First Keystone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Keystone Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Keystone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for First Keystone
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Keystone's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Keystone's price trends.View First Keystone Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Keystone Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Keystone's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Keystone's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
First Keystone Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Keystone pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Keystone shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Keystone pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Keystone Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Keystone Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Keystone's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Keystone's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Variance | 11.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis
When running First Keystone's price analysis, check to measure First Keystone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Keystone is operating at the current time. Most of First Keystone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Keystone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Keystone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Keystone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.