Auburn National Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AUBN Stock | USD 21.59 0.53 2.52% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Auburn National Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 21.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.56. Auburn Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Auburn National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Auburn National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Auburn National fundamentals over time.
Auburn |
Auburn National Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Auburn National Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 21.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Auburn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Auburn National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Auburn National Stock Forecast Pattern
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Auburn National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Auburn National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Auburn National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.62 and 23.56, respectively. We have considered Auburn National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Auburn National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Auburn National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7807 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.044 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3927 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0177 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.56 |
Predictive Modules for Auburn National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auburn National Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Auburn National
For every potential investor in Auburn, whether a beginner or expert, Auburn National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Auburn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Auburn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Auburn National's price trends.View Auburn National Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Auburn National Banc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Auburn National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Auburn National's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Auburn National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Auburn National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Auburn National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Auburn National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Auburn National Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Auburn National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Auburn National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Auburn National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting auburn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Auburn National Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Auburn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Auburn National Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Auburn National Bancorporation Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Auburn National to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Auburn National. If investors know Auburn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Auburn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Auburn National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Auburn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Auburn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Auburn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Auburn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Auburn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Auburn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Auburn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Auburn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.