Auburn National Valuation

AUBN Stock  USD 21.35  0.05  0.23%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Auburn National Banc shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.32 per share. The current price of the firm is $21.35. Our model approximates the value of Auburn National Banc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0117, and Profit Margin of 0.04 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Auburn National's valuation include:
Price Book
0.9505
Enterprise Value
-10.2 M
Price Sales
2.4405
Trailing PE
91.2
Enterprise Value Revenue
2.432
Overvalued
Today
21.35
Please note that Auburn National's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Auburn National Banc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Auburn National's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Auburn National is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Auburn Stock. However, Auburn National's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.35 Real  18.32 Hype  21.45 Naive  21.42
The intrinsic value of Auburn National's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Auburn National's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.32
Real Value
23.49
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Auburn National Bancorporation helps investors to forecast how Auburn stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Auburn National more accurately as focusing exclusively on Auburn National's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1320.9721.80
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4821.4523.42
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.670.720.77
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Auburn National's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Auburn National's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Auburn National's closest peers.

Auburn National Cash

33.91 Million

Auburn Valuation Trend

Knowing Auburn National's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Auburn National's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Auburn National Total Value Analysis

Auburn National Bancorporation is presently forecasted to have valuation of (10.17 M) with market capitalization of 79.66 M, debt of 899.03 M, and cash on hands of 133.11 M. The negative valuation of Auburn National may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Auburn National fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(10.17 M)
79.66 M
899.03 M
133.11 M

Auburn National Investor Information

About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Auburn National Banc last dividend was issued on the 10th of December 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 26th of June 1998. Auburn National Bancorporation is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.320.34
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities9.1 M10.8 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Operating Income5.8 M6.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Auburn National Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Auburn suggests not a very effective usage of assets in March.
 
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Covid

Auburn National Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Auburn National Banc is $79.66 Million. Auburn National Bancorporation retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.

Auburn National Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.6 M. Net Income was 6.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.67 M.

Auburn National Past Distributions to stockholders

About Auburn National Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Auburn National Bancorporation. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Auburn National Banc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Auburn National's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Auburn National's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Auburn National. We calculate exposure to Auburn National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Auburn National's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit30.6 M24.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.27  0.37 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.21  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.74  1.05 

Auburn National Quarterly Retained Earnings

115.76 Million

Auburn National's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Auburn National's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Auburn National can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Auburn National represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Auburn, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Auburn National Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 27th of March 2025, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 2.49, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (3.6 M). . As of the 27th of March 2025, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.08, while Retained Earnings are likely to drop about 72 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-3.8 M-3.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.59  0.40 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.84  2.49 
There are various types of dividends Auburn National can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Auburn shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Auburn National Bancorporation directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Auburn pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Auburn National by the value of the dividends paid out.

Auburn National Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.165

Auburn National Current Valuation Indicators

Auburn National's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Auburn National's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Auburn National, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Auburn National's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Auburn National's worth.
When determining whether Auburn National Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Auburn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Auburn National Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Auburn National Bancorporation Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Auburn National Bancorporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
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Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Auburn National. If investors know Auburn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Auburn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.165
Dividend Share
1.08
Earnings Share
0.25
Revenue Per Share
6.585
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.104
The market value of Auburn National Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Auburn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Auburn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Auburn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Auburn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Auburn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Auburn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Auburn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Auburn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.