American Express Earnings Estimate

AXP Stock  USD 293.34  2.06  0.70%   
The next projected EPS of American Express is estimated to be 3.5868 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.28 to a high of 3.85. American Express' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 14.0. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for American Express is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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American Express is projected to generate 3.5868 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. American Express earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected American Express EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on American Express' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as American Express, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

American Express Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing American Express' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across American Express' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, American Express' Operating Profit Margin is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/25/2025, Net Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.21, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 26.8 B.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
To learn how to invest in American Stock, please use our How to Invest in American Express guide.

American Express Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of American Express' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of American Express is estimated to be 3.5868 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.28 to a high of 3.85. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for American Express is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
3.04
3.28
Lowest
Expected EPS
3.5868
3.85
Highest

American Express Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of American Express' value are higher than the current market price of the American Express stock. In this case, investors may conclude that American Express is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and American Express' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2025Current EPS (TTM)
2994.03%
3.04
3.5868
14.0

American Express Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by American Express analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge American Express' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only American Express' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

American Express Quarterly Gross Profit

17.18 Billion

At this time, American Express' Retained Earnings are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/25/2025, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.07, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 10.7 B. As of 02/25/2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 956.6 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 4.7 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
291.28292.69294.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
274.30275.71321.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
287.83289.24290.65
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
272.77299.75332.72
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of American assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards American Express. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving American Express' stock price in the short term.

American Express Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of American Express refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering American Express predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of American Express, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

American Express Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as American Express, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of American Express should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

American Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-01-24
2024-12-313.03483.040.0052
2024-10-18
2024-09-303.283.490.21
2024-07-19
2024-06-303.243.490.25
2024-04-19
2024-03-312.963.330.3712 
2024-01-26
2023-12-312.642.62-0.02
2023-10-20
2023-09-302.943.30.3612 
2023-07-21
2023-06-302.812.890.08
2023-04-20
2023-03-312.662.4-0.26
2023-01-27
2022-12-312.222.07-0.15
2022-10-21
2022-09-302.412.470.06
2022-07-22
2022-06-302.412.570.16
2022-04-22
2022-03-312.442.730.2911 
2022-01-25
2021-12-311.872.180.3116 
2021-10-22
2021-09-301.82.270.4726 
2021-07-23
2021-06-301.672.81.1367 
2021-04-23
2021-03-311.612.741.1370 
2021-01-26
2020-12-311.311.760.4534 
2020-10-23
2020-09-301.351.3-0.05
2020-07-24
2020-06-30-0.110.290.4363 
2020-04-24
2020-03-311.430.41-1.0271 
2020-01-24
2019-12-312.012.030.02
2019-10-18
2019-09-302.032.080.05
2019-07-19
2019-06-302.042.070.03
2019-04-18
2019-03-311.992.010.02
2019-01-17
2018-12-311.81.74-0.06
2018-10-18
2018-09-301.771.880.11
2018-07-18
2018-06-301.821.840.02
2018-04-18
2018-03-311.711.860.15
2018-01-18
2017-12-311.541.580.04
2017-10-18
2017-09-301.481.50.02
2017-07-19
2017-06-301.431.470.04
2017-04-19
2017-03-311.281.340.06
2017-01-19
2016-12-310.980.88-0.110 
2016-10-19
2016-09-300.971.20.2323 
2016-07-20
2016-06-301.952.10.15
2016-04-20
2016-03-311.351.430.08
2016-01-21
2015-12-311.121.230.11
2015-10-21
2015-09-301.311.24-0.07
2015-07-22
2015-06-301.321.420.1
2015-04-16
2015-03-311.371.480.11
2015-01-21
2014-12-311.381.22-0.1611 
2014-10-15
2014-09-301.361.40.04
2014-07-29
2014-06-301.381.380.0
2014-04-16
2014-03-311.31.330.03
2014-01-16
2013-12-311.261.25-0.01
2013-10-16
2013-09-301.221.250.03
2013-07-17
2013-06-301.221.270.05
2013-04-17
2013-03-311.121.150.03
2013-01-17
2012-12-311.091.090.0
2012-10-17
2012-09-301.091.090.0
2012-07-18
2012-06-301.091.150.06
2012-04-18
2012-03-3111.070.07
2012-01-19
2011-12-310.981.010.03
2011-10-19
2011-09-300.961.030.07
2011-07-20
2011-06-300.991.070.08
2011-04-20
2011-03-310.930.970.04
2011-01-24
2010-12-310.970.94-0.03
2010-10-21
2010-09-300.860.90.04
2010-07-22
2010-06-300.780.840.06
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.630.730.115 
2010-01-21
2009-12-310.570.590.02
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.380.540.1642 
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.260.09-0.1765 
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.120.320.2166 
2009-01-26
2008-12-310.220.21-0.01
2008-10-20
2008-09-300.590.740.1525 
2008-07-21
2008-06-300.830.56-0.2732 
2008-04-24
2008-03-310.810.840.03
2008-01-28
2007-12-310.710.710.0
2007-10-22
2007-09-300.850.90.05
2007-07-23
2007-06-300.860.880.02
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.80.880.0810 
2007-01-22
2006-12-310.760.760.0
2006-10-23
2006-09-300.760.780.02
2006-07-24
2006-06-300.740.780.04
2006-04-24
2006-03-310.690.70.01
2006-01-23
2005-12-310.590.60.01
2005-10-24
2005-09-300.680.690.01
2005-07-25
2005-06-300.780.810.03
2005-04-26
2005-03-310.750.750.0
2005-01-24
2004-12-310.70.710.01
2004-10-25
2004-09-300.690.690.0
2004-07-26
2004-06-300.670.680.01
2004-04-22
2004-03-310.620.660.04
2004-01-26
2003-12-310.590.60.01
2003-10-27
2003-09-300.580.590.01
2003-07-28
2003-06-300.570.590.02
2003-04-24
2003-03-310.520.530.01
2003-01-27
2002-12-310.510.520.01
2002-10-28
2002-09-300.510.520.01
2002-07-22
2002-06-300.50.510.01
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.430.460.03
2002-01-28
2001-12-310.240.22-0.02
2001-10-22
2001-09-300.30.22-0.0826 
2001-07-23
2001-06-300.130.130.0
2001-01-22
2000-12-310.50.50.0
2000-10-23
2000-09-300.550.54-0.01
2000-07-24
2000-06-300.530.540.01
2000-04-24
2000-03-310.470.480.01
2000-01-24
1999-12-310.440.440.0
1999-10-25
1999-09-300.470.470.0
1999-07-26
1999-06-300.470.470.0
1999-04-22
1999-03-310.410.430.02
1999-01-25
1998-12-310.390.390.0
1998-10-26
1998-09-300.420.420.0
1998-07-27
1998-06-300.410.420.01
1998-04-23
1998-03-310.360.370.01
1998-01-26
1997-12-310.340.350.01
1997-10-27
1997-09-300.360.370.01
1997-07-28
1997-06-300.350.360.01
1997-04-24
1997-03-310.310.310.0
1997-01-27
1996-12-310.30.30.0
1996-10-28
1996-09-300.320.320.0
1996-07-22
1996-06-300.310.310.0
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.270.270.0
1996-01-22
1995-12-310.260.260.0

About American Express Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of American Express earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current American Express estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as American Express fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings22.1 B23.3 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity18.7 B10.7 B
Earnings Yield 0.05  0.07 
Price Earnings Ratio 20.75  13.87 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.71  0.75 

Pair Trading with American Express

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Stock

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Moving against American Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Express to buy it.
The correlation of American Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.