Correlation Between American Express and Visa

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Express and Visa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Express and Visa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Express and Visa Class A, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Express and Visa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Express with a short position of Visa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Express and Visa.

Diversification Opportunities for American Express and Visa

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

American Express  Visa

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and Visa is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Express and Visa Class A in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Visa Class A and American Express is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Express are associated (or correlated) with Visa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Visa Class A has no effect on the direction of American Express i.e., American Express and Visa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Express and Visa

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Express is expected to under-perform the Visa. In addition to that, American Express is 1.54 times more volatile than Visa Class A. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Visa Class A is currently generating about 0.22 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  31,417  in Visa Class A on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,785  from holding Visa Class A or generate 12.05% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

American Express  vs.  Visa Class A

American Express

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days American Express has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, American Express is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Visa Class A

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Visa Class A are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Visa may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

Pair Trading with American Express and Visa

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Express and Visa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, Visa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Visa will offset losses from the drop in Visa's long position.

The idea behind American Express and Visa Class A pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.