H2O Retailing (Germany) Volatility
| HKU Stock | EUR 13.50 0.10 0.75% |
At this point, H2O Retailing is not too volatile. H2O Retailing holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0908, which attests that the company had a 0.0908 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for H2O Retailing, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out H2O Retailing's semi deviation of 1.19, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.45) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Key indicators related to H2O Retailing's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
H2O Retailing Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of H2O daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use H2O's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of H2O Retailing volatility.
H2O |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as H2O Retailing can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of H2O Retailing at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of H2O Retailing's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with H2O Stock
| 0.76 | DL7A | Dillards | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | FDO | Macys Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | 3RKU | RYOHIN UNSPADR/1 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | 4HP | Isetan Mitsukoshi | PairCorr |
Moving against H2O Stock
H2O Retailing Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
H2O Retailing's beta coefficient measures the volatility of H2O stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents H2O stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, H2O Retailing's beta of -0.15 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk H2O Retailing stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. H2O Retailing has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 3.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure H2O Retailing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact H2O Retailing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze H2O Retailing Demand TrendCheck current 90 days H2O Retailing correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)H2O Beta |
H2O standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.54 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by H2O Retailing's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of H2O Retailing's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in h2o stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in H2O Retailing.
H2O Retailing Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which H2O Retailing stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with H2O Retailing's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of H2O Retailing's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of H2O Retailing's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures H2O Retailing's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict H2O Retailing's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for H2O Retailing's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on H2O Retailing's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. H2O Retailing Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
H2O Retailing Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon H2O Retailing has a beta of -0.1541 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding H2O Retailing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, H2O Retailing is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to H2O Retailing or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that H2O Retailing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a H2O stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
H2O Retailing has an alpha of 0.0735, implying that it can generate a 0.0735 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a H2O Retailing Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.H2O Retailing Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of H2O Retailing is 1101.25. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.38 and standard deviation of 1.54. The mean deviation of H2O Retailing is currently at 1.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.84
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
H2O Retailing Stock Return Volatility
H2O Retailing historical daily return volatility represents how much of H2O Retailing stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.5412% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8496% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About H2O Retailing Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of H2O Retailing or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of H2O Retailing may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to H2O's beta indicator, it measures the risk of H2O Retailing and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of H2O Retailing fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.H2O Retailing Corporation operates department stores, supermarkets, and shopping centers in Japan. The company was founded in 1929 and is based in Osaka, Japan. H2O RETAILING is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
H2O Retailing's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on H2O Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much H2O Retailing's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize H2O Retailing's volatility to invest better
Higher H2O Retailing's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of H2O Retailing stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. H2O Retailing stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of H2O Retailing investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in H2O Retailing's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of H2O Retailing's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
H2O Retailing Investment Opportunity
H2O Retailing has a volatility of 1.54 and is 1.81 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of H2O Retailing is lower than 13 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use H2O Retailing to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of H2O Retailing to be traded at €14.85 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between H2O Retailing and DJI is -0.08 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding H2O Retailing and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
H2O Retailing Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of H2O Retailing's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in H2O Retailing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of H2O Retailing stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0484 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.45) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1908.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
H2O Retailing Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against H2O Retailing as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. H2O Retailing's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, H2O Retailing's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to H2O Retailing.
Complementary Tools for H2O Stock analysis
When running H2O Retailing's price analysis, check to measure H2O Retailing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy H2O Retailing is operating at the current time. Most of H2O Retailing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of H2O Retailing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move H2O Retailing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of H2O Retailing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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