Contact Financial (Egypt) Volatility
| CNFN Stock | 4.65 0.10 2.20% |
Contact Financial appears to be unstable, given 3 months investment horizon. Contact Financial Holding secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0648, which signifies that the company had a 0.0648% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Contact Financial Holding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Contact Financial's Downside Deviation of 2.63, risk adjusted performance of 0.0634, and Mean Deviation of 2.4 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Contact |
Contact Financial Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Contact daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Contact's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Contact Financial volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Contact Financial can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Contact Financial at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Contact Financial's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Contact Financial Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Contact Financial's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Contact stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Contact stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Contact Financial's beta of 0.19 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Contact Financial stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Contact Financial Holding currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Contact Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Contact Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Contact Financial Holding Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Contact Financial correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Contact Beta |
Contact standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.25 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Contact Financial's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Contact Financial's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in contact stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Contact Financial.
Contact Financial Holding Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Contact Financial stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Contact Financial's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Contact Financial's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Contact Financial's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Contact Financial's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Contact Financial's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Contact Financial's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Contact Financial's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Contact Financial Holding Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Contact Financial Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Contact Financial has a beta of 0.1884 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Contact Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Contact Financial Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Contact Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Contact Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Contact stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Contact Financial Holding has an alpha of 0.2734, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Contact Financial Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Contact Financial Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Contact Financial is 1542.9. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 18.04 and standard deviation of 4.25. The mean deviation of Contact Financial Holding is currently at 2.53. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Contact Financial Stock Return Volatility
Contact Financial historical daily return volatility represents how much of Contact Financial stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 4.247% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7299% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Contact Financial Investment Opportunity
Contact Financial Holding has a volatility of 4.25 and is 5.82 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Contact Financial Holding is lower than 37 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Contact Financial Holding to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Contact Financial to be traded at 5.58 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Contact Financial Holding and DJI is 0.03 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Contact Financial Holding and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Contact Financial Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Contact Financial's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Contact Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Contact Financial stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0634 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.55 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1311.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Contact Financial Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Contact Financial as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Contact Financial's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Contact Financial's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Contact Financial Holding.
Complementary Tools for Contact Stock analysis
When running Contact Financial's price analysis, check to measure Contact Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Contact Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Contact Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Contact Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Contact Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Contact Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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