Valvoline Valuation

VVV Stock  USD 37.41  0.57  1.55%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Valvoline has a current Real Value of $37.53 per share. The regular price of the company is $37.41. Our model measures the value of Valvoline from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.26 %, return on equity of 1.86, and Shares Outstanding of 127.1 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Valvoline's valuation include:
Price Book
20.7078
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.7019
Price Sales
2.8668
Forward PE
22.9885
Fairly Valued
Today
37.41
Please note that Valvoline's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Valvoline is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Valvoline's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Valvoline stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Valvoline. Since Valvoline is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Valvoline Stock. However, Valvoline's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  37.41 Real  37.53 Target  43.62 Hype  37.36 Naive  35.55
The intrinsic value of Valvoline's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Valvoline's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
37.53
Real Value
39.34
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Valvoline helps investors to forecast how Valvoline stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Valvoline more accurately as focusing exclusively on Valvoline's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.340.360.39
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5537.3639.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.7435.5537.35
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
39.6943.6248.41
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Valvoline's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Valvoline's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Valvoline's closest peers.

Valvoline Cash

74.62 Million

Valvoline Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Valvoline's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Valvoline over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Valvoline Revenue by Product

Valvoline Total Value Analysis

Valvoline is at this time anticipated to have company total value of 6 B with market capitalization of 4.76 B, debt of 1.37 B, and cash on hands of 409.1 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Valvoline fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
B
4.76 B
1.37 B
409.1 M

Valvoline Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. Valvoline last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 1:20 split on the August 29, 2011. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Valvoline's historical financial statements, Valvoline may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.150.2
Way Down
Very volatile
Operating Income263.9 M330.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Valvoline Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Valvoline has an asset utilization ratio of 66.39 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.66 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Valvoline is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Valvoline Ownership Allocation

The majority of Valvoline outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Valvoline to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Valvoline. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Valvoline as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Valvoline Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.62 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 211.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 636.9 M.

About Valvoline Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Valvoline. We calculate exposure to Valvoline's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Valvoline's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit556.9 M500.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.15 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.20 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.30 

Valvoline Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Valvoline does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.403
Forward Price Earnings22.9885

Valvoline Current Valuation Indicators

Valvoline's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Valvoline's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Valvoline, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Valvoline's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Valvoline's worth.

Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis

When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.