Urban Outfitters Valuation

URBN Stock  USD 48.73  1.24  2.61%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Urban Outfitters has a current Real Value of $45.71 per share. The regular price of the company is $48.73. Our model measures the value of Urban Outfitters from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.11 %, shares outstanding of 92.28 M, and Return On Equity of 0.15 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Urban Outfitters' valuation include:
Price Book
1.8624
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.224
Price Sales
0.8452
Forward PE
12.2399
Overvalued
Today
48.73
Please note that Urban Outfitters' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Urban Outfitters is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Urban Outfitters' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Urban Outfitters is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Urban Stock. However, Urban Outfitters' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  48.73 Real  45.71 Target  38.04 Hype  49.11 Naive  50.53
The intrinsic value of Urban Outfitters' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Urban Outfitters' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
45.71
Real Value
53.60
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Urban Outfitters helps investors to forecast how Urban stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Urban Outfitters more accurately as focusing exclusively on Urban Outfitters' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.910.960.99
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.1049.1152.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
47.5250.5353.55
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.6238.0442.22
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Urban Outfitters' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Urban Outfitters' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Urban Outfitters' closest peers.

Urban Outfitters Cash

158.97 Million

Urban Valuation Trend

Knowing Urban Outfitters' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Urban Outfitters' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Urban Revenue by Product

Urban Outfitters Total Value Analysis

Urban Outfitters is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 4.97 B with market capitalization of 4.5 B, debt of 1.08 B, and cash on hands of 293.8 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Urban Outfitters fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.97 B
4.5 B
1.08 B
293.8 M

Urban Outfitters Investor Information

About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Urban Outfitters has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2005. Based on the key indicators related to Urban Outfitters' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Urban Outfitters is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.130.0753
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities534.9 M509.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income215.9 M388.1 M
Way Down
Very volatile

Urban Outfitters Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Urban Outfitters has an asset utilization ratio of 125.35 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.25 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Urban Outfitters is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Urban Outfitters Ownership Allocation

Urban Outfitters shows a total of 92.28 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Urban Outfitters outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Urban Outfitters to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Urban Outfitters. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Urban Outfitters as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly seven million one hundred seventy-nine thousand fifty-seven invesors are currently shorting Urban Outfitters expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Urban Outfitters Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.15 B. Net Income was 287.67 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.43 B.

About Urban Outfitters Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Urban Outfitters. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Urban Outfitters based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Urban Outfitters's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Urban Outfitters's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Urban Outfitters. We calculate exposure to Urban Outfitters's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Urban Outfitters's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.7 B1.8 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.07  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.08  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.06  0.08 
Gross Profit Margin 0.34  0.43 

Urban Outfitters Quarterly Retained Earnings

2.38 Billion

Urban Outfitters Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.127
Forward Price Earnings12.2399

Urban Outfitters Current Valuation Indicators

Urban Outfitters' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Urban Outfitters' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Urban Outfitters, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Urban Outfitters' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Urban Outfitters' worth.
When determining whether Urban Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Urban Outfitters' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Urban Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Urban Outfitters Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Urban Outfitters. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.127
Earnings Share
3.49
Revenue Per Share
57.241
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
Return On Assets
0.0621
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.