Urban Outfitters Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| URBN Stock | USD 52.63 1.38 2.56% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Urban Outfitters is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Urban Outfitters' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Urban Outfitters Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Urban and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Urban Outfitters. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Urban |
Execute Urban Outfitters Buy or Sell Advice
The Urban recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Urban Outfitters. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Urban Outfitters or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Urban Outfitters' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Urban Outfitters Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Urban Outfitters is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Urban Outfitters has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Bohemian womens clothing retailer Free People to open a store in downtown Detroit |
Urban Outfitters Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Urban Outfitters' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Urban Outfitters' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Urban Outfitters daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Urban Outfitters price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Urban Outfitters returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Urban Outfitters.
| Mean Return | 0.58 | Value At Risk | -3.51 | Potential Upside | 4.35 | Standard Deviation | 3.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Urban Outfitters historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Urban Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Urban Outfitters, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Urban Outfitters back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-12-31 | 891.6 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 863.8 K | Systematic Financial Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 756.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 706.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 695.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 9.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 7.9 M |
Urban Outfitters Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 22.4M | (181.9M) | (22.3M) | 38.8M | 34.9M | 36.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 173.8M | (189.1M) | (5.3M) | (22.9M) | (20.6M) | (19.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 126.6M | 96.9M | (56.8M) | 309.8M | 356.3M | 374.1M | |
| Depreciation | 103.8M | 105.7M | 102.3M | 102.5M | 117.9M | 75.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 213.4M | 193.0M | 201.3M | 236.8M | 272.3M | 285.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 159.2M | 262.4M | 199.5M | 199.6M | 229.6M | 120.5M | |
| Net Income | 1.2M | 310.6M | 159.7M | 287.7M | 330.8M | 347.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 395.6M | 206.6M | 201.3M | 178.3M | 205.1M | 158.9M | |
| Investments | (101.9M) | (225.2M) | (32.0M) | (521.6M) | (469.5M) | (446.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | (7.8M) | (1.2M) | 26.0M | (7.1M) | (8.2M) | (7.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 38.1M | 219.4M | 216.1M | 27.9M | 32.0M | 57.4M |
Urban Outfitters Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Urban Outfitters or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Urban Outfitters' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Urban stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Urban Outfitters Volatility Alert
Urban Outfitters currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.17 and Jensen Alpha of 0.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Urban Outfitters' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Urban Outfitters' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Urban Outfitters Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Urban Outfitters' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Urban Outfitters' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Urban Outfitters and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Urban Outfitters or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Urban Outfitters' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Urban Outfitters by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Urban Outfitters to competition |
| Fundamentals | Urban Outfitters | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0621 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.57 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 92.28 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.61 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.99 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.94 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.12 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.15 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.85 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 496.09 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 287.67 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 293.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.08 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 25.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 509.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.49 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.20 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 57.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10.92 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.98 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.11 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.11 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 288.3 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 10833 shares by Conforti Frank of Urban Outfitters subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Urban Outfitters Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Urban . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Urban Outfitters Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Urban Outfitters? Buying financial instruments such as Urban Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Urban Outfitters in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Banks Thematic Idea Now
Banks
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Urban Outfitters Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Earnings Share 3.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.