Origin Agritech Valuation

SEED Stock  USD 1.85  0.05  2.63%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Origin Agritech holds a recent Real Value of $1.72 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $1.85. Our model determines the value of Origin Agritech from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -3.72, shares outstanding of 7.18 M, and Operating Margin of (1.90) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Origin Agritech's valuation include:
Price Book
4.864
Enterprise Value
13.1 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.1212
Price Sales
0.1204
Trailing PE
4.3068
Overvalued
Today
1.85
Please note that Origin Agritech's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Origin Agritech is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Origin Agritech's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Origin stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Origin Agritech. Since Origin Agritech is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Origin Stock. However, Origin Agritech's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.85 Real  1.72 Hype  1.9 Naive  2.13
The real value of Origin Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Origin Agritech Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Origin Agritech's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Origin Agritech's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
1.72
Real Value
6.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Origin Agritech helps investors to forecast how Origin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Origin Agritech more accurately as focusing exclusively on Origin Agritech's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.811.972.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.906.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.042.137.10
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Origin Agritech's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Origin Agritech's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Origin Agritech's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Origin Agritech we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Origin Agritech Cash

7.16 Million

Origin Valuation Trend

Comparing Origin Agritech's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Origin Agritech uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Origin Agritech Total Value Analysis

Origin Agritech is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 13.15 M with market capitalization of 13.66 M, debt of 5.08 M, and cash on hands of 6.51 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Origin Agritech fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
13.15 M
13.66 M
5.08 M
6.51 M

Origin Agritech Investor Information

About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Origin Agritech Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Origin Agritech has an asset utilization ratio of 86.18 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.86 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Origin Agritech is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Origin Agritech Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Origin Agritech is $13.66 Million. Origin Agritech holds 17.66 pct. of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 1.88 pct. owned by third-party entities. Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the company is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.

Origin Agritech Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.38 M. Net Income was 18.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.07 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Origin Agritech's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Origin Agritech and how it compares across the competition.

About Origin Agritech Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Origin Agritech's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Origin Agritech. We calculate exposure to Origin Agritech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Origin Agritech's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit14.5 M13.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.30 

Origin Agritech Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Origin Agritech does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.642

Origin Agritech Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Origin Agritech and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Origin we look at many different elements of the entity such as Origin's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Origin Agritech, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Origin Agritech's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Origin Agritech's worth.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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