Is Origin Agritech Stock a Good Investment?
Origin Agritech Investment Advice | SEED |
- Examine Origin Agritech's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Origin Agritech's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Origin Agritech navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Agricultural Products & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact Origin Agritech's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Origin Agritech's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Origin Agritech is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Origin Agritech pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Origin Agritech's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Origin Agritech stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Origin Agritech is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Examine Origin Agritech Stock
Researching Origin Agritech's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. Origin Agritech had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2018.
To determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Origin Agritech's research are outlined below:
| Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Agritech may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Origin Agritech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Origin Agritech currently holds 5.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (15.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from eu-startups.com: Rerun raises 15.6 million to build the data infrastructure powering the Physical AI revolution |
Origin Agritech uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Origin Agritech. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Origin Agritech's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 13th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View |
Know Origin Agritech's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Origin Agritech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Agritech backward and forwards among themselves. Origin Agritech's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Origin Agritech's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Legacy Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 41.5 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 26.8 K | First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca) | 2024-12-31 | 19.5 K | Oppenheimer & Co Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15 K | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 13.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 8.3 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 350 | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 100.0 | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 55.0 | Xtx Topco Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 0.0 |
Origin Agritech's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 13.71 M.Market Cap |
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Origin Agritech's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.04) | (0.04) |
Determining Origin Agritech's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Origin Agritech is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Origin Agritech's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Origin Agritech's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Origin Agritech's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Origin Agritech's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Origin Agritech's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Origin Agritech's management efficiency
Origin Agritech has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1227) % which means that it has lost $0.1227 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (3.7199) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Origin Agritech's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Agritech manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of March 22, 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.04. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.04. At present, Origin Agritech's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.51, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 85.3 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 126.59 | 88.88 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 106.75 | 68.81 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (170.60) | (179.13) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 8.16 | 7.75 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (170.60) | (179.13) | |
| Price Fair Value | 8.16 | 7.75 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.2 B | 630.2 M |
Origin Agritech benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Beta 1.606 |
Basic technical analysis of Origin Stock
As of the 22nd of March, Origin Agritech holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), coefficient of variation of (2,625), and Variance of 23.4. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Agritech, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Origin Agritech variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Origin Agritech is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.91 per share. Please also confirm Origin Agritech jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.13) to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.Origin Agritech's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Agritech insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Agritech's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Agritech insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Propper Richard D over six months ago Acquisition by Propper Richard D of 147250 shares of Origin Agritech at 5.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Origin Agritech's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Origin Agritech issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Origin Agritech uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Origin bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Origin Agritech has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Dana 575 percent Corp BondUS235822AB96 | View | |
| AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Understand Origin Agritech's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Origin Agritech's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.19) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,625) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.84 | |||
| Variance | 23.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1731 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.76 | |||
| Skewness | 1.82 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.84 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.19) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,625) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.84 | |||
| Variance | 23.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1731 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.76 | |||
| Skewness | 1.82 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.84 |
Consider Origin Agritech's intraday indicators
Origin Agritech intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Agritech stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Origin Agritech time-series forecasting models is one of many Origin Agritech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Agritech's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Origin Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Origin Agritech that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Origin media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Origin internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Origin data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Origin Agritech news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Origin Agritech relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Origin Agritech's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Origin Agritech alpha.
Origin Agritech Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Origin Agritech can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Origin Agritech Corporate Management
| William Niebur | Strategic Consultant | Profile | |
| Yang Li | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Huang Xilin | Ex VP | Profile | |
| Jihong Liang | Chief Officer | Profile |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.