Origin Agritech Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SEED Stock | USD 1.90 0.03 1.60% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Origin Agritech is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Origin Agritech buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SEED positions.
Check out Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Origin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Origin |
Execute Origin Agritech Buy or Sell Advice
The Origin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Origin Agritech. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Origin Agritech or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Origin Agritech's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Origin Agritech Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Origin Agritech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Origin Agritech may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Origin Agritech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Origin Agritech currently holds 5.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (15.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13. | |
| Origin Agritech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 18.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from eu-startups.com: Meet the experts joining our Investors panel discussion at the EU-Startups Summit 2025 |
Origin Agritech Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Origin Agritech's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Origin Agritech's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Origin Agritech daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Origin Agritech price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Origin Agritech returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Origin Agritech.
| Mean Return | -0.32 | Value At Risk | -6.36 | Potential Upside | 7.76 | Standard Deviation | 4.84 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Origin Agritech historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Origin Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Legacy Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 41.5 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 26.8 K | First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca) | 2024-12-31 | 19.5 K | Oppenheimer & Co Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15 K | Two Sigma Securities, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 13.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 8.3 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 350 | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 100.0 | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 55.0 | Xtx Topco Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 0.0 |
Origin Agritech Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (7.1M) | 2.3M | 6.0M | (15.3M) | (13.8M) | (13.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.8M) | 2.7M | (17.7M) | (20.0M) | (18.0M) | (18.9M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 116.6M | 987K | (86.0M) | (55.2M) | (49.7M) | (47.2M) | |
| Net Income | (127.1M) | 2.3M | 62.7M | 18.7M | 16.8M | 17.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 15.4M | 17.7M | 23.7M | 8.4M | 7.5M | 7.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 19.8M | 66.5M | 92.0M | 10.6M | 12.2M | 11.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.4M | 2.1M | (10.9M) | (110K) | (126.5K) | (132.8K) | |
| Depreciation | 8.3M | 3.9M | 4.0M | 2.8M | 2.5M | 2.4M | |
| Investments | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | (11.2M) | (5.0M) | (4.5M) | (4.3M) |
Origin Agritech Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Origin Agritech or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Origin Agritech's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Origin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Origin Agritech Volatility Alert
Origin Agritech exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.87 and kurtosis of 8.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Origin Agritech's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Origin Agritech's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Origin Agritech Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Origin Agritech's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Origin Agritech's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Origin Agritech and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Origin Agritech or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Origin Agritech's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Agritech by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Origin Agritech to competition |
| Fundamentals | Origin Agritech | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -3.72 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.90) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.66 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.88 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 105.95 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 4.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 113.38 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 16.07 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 23.08 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 18.68 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.13 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.08 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 180.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.13 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (4.77) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (15.03 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.44 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 5.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 68 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.62 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 131.56 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (580.85 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (84.53 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 478.1 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 614.5 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Propper Richard D of 147250 shares of Origin Agritech at 5.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Origin Agritech Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Origin Agritech Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Origin Agritech? Buying financial instruments such as Origin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Origin Agritech in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ISP
Internet Service Providers (ISP) companies and IT providers specializing in internet technologies. The ISP theme has 38 constituents at this time.
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Check out Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.