Qudian Valuation

QD Stock  USD 2.92  0.09  3.18%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Qudian Inc holds a recent Real Value of $2.01 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $2.92. Our model determines the value of Qudian Inc from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (1.21) %, shares outstanding of 125.91 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0035 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Qudian's valuation include:
Price Book
0.3382
Enterprise Value
-366.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(0.11)
Price Sales
2.3511
Forward PE
3.8052
Overvalued
Today
2.92
Please note that Qudian's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Qudian Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Qudian's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Qudian stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Qudian Inc. Since Qudian is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Qudian Stock. However, Qudian's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.92 Real  2.01 Target  1.1 Hype  2.93 Naive  2.84
The real value of Qudian Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Qudian Inc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Qudian's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Qudian's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.01
Real Value
5.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Qudian Inc helps investors to forecast how Qudian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Qudian more accurately as focusing exclusively on Qudian's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.682.953.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.936.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.062.846.64
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.001.101.22
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Qudian's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Qudian's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Qudian's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Qudian we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Qudian Cash

8.7 Billion

Qudian Valuation Trend

Comparing Qudian's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Qudian Inc uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Qudian Revenue by Product

Qudian Total Value Analysis

Qudian Inc is at this time forecasted to have takeover value of (366.31 M) with market capitalization of 536.01 M, debt of 69.7 M, and cash on hands of 3.5 B. The negative valuation of Qudian may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding debt commitments of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should methodically examine all of the Qudian fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(366.31 M)
536.01 M
69.7 M
3.5 B

Qudian Investor Information

About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Qudian Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Qudian's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Qudian Inc is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in March.

Qudian Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Qudian has an asset utilization ratio of 1.01 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.0101 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Qudian Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Qudian Ownership Allocation

Qudian owns a total of 125.91 Million outstanding shares. Qudian holds 12.31 pct. of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 14.42 pct. owned by third-party entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Qudian Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 126.34 M. Reported Net Income was 39.13 M with gross profit of 22.04 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Qudian's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Qudian and how it compares across the competition.

About Qudian Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Qudian's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Qudian. We calculate exposure to Qudian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Qudian's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-38.8 M-36.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.72  0.76 
Operating Profit Margin(2.36)(2.24)
Net Profit Margin 0.28  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin(0.31)(0.29)

Qudian Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Qudian does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.515
Forward Price Earnings3.8052

Qudian Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Qudian Inc and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Qudian we look at many different elements of the entity such as Qudian's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Qudian, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Qudian's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Qudian's worth.

Complementary Tools for Qudian Stock analysis

When running Qudian's price analysis, check to measure Qudian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qudian is operating at the current time. Most of Qudian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qudian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qudian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qudian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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