Murphy USA Valuation

MUSA Stock  USD 469.24  9.24  2.01%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Murphy USA secures a last-minute Real Value of $416.43 per share. The latest price of the firm is $469.24. Our model forecasts the value of Murphy USA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 11.71 B, profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.6 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Murphy USA's valuation include:
Price Book
11.1801
Enterprise Value
11.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.7526
Price Sales
0.5244
Forward PE
17.8253
Overvalued
Today
469.24
Please note that Murphy USA's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Murphy USA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Murphy USA's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Murphy USA is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Murphy Stock. However, Murphy USA's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  469.24 Real  416.43 Target  495.0 Hype  471.67
The real value of Murphy Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Murphy USA Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Murphy USA's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Murphy USA's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
414.87
Downside
416.43
Real Value
516.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Murphy USA helps investors to forecast how Murphy stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Murphy USA more accurately as focusing exclusively on Murphy USA's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
3.004.085.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
422.32471.67473.23
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
450.45495.00549.45
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Murphy USA's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Murphy USA's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Murphy USA's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Murphy USA we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Murphy USA Cash

31.16 Million

Murphy Valuation Trend

Comparing Murphy USA's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Murphy USA uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Murphy USA Total Value Analysis

Murphy USA is now projected to have valuation of 11.71 B with market capitalization of 9.39 B, debt of 2.37 B, and cash on hands of 192.7 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Murphy USA fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.71 B
9.39 B
2.37 B
192.7 M

Murphy USA Investor Information

About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. Murphy USA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 24.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2025. Based on the key measurements obtained from Murphy USA's financial statements, Murphy USA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in April.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.02060.0367
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities507.5 M847.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income473.1 M742.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Murphy USA Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Murphy USA has an asset utilization ratio of 445.75 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $4.46 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Murphy USA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Murphy USA Ownership Allocation

Murphy USA maintains a total of 20.02 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Murphy USA outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Murphy USA to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Murphy USA. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Murphy USA as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Murphy USA Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.24 B. Net Income was 502.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 B.

Murphy USA Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Murphy USA's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Murphy USA and how it compares across the competition.

About Murphy USA Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Murphy USA's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Murphy USA. We calculate exposure to Murphy USA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Murphy USA's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit20.2 B21.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.02 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.86  0.90 

Murphy USA Quarterly Retained Earnings

3.74 Billion

Murphy USA's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Murphy USA's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Murphy USA can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Murphy USA represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Murphy, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Murphy USA Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to grow to 1.24, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (35 M). . At present, Murphy USA's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 3.3 B, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 10.69.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-36.8 M-35 M
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.07  0.07 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.89  1.24 
There are various types of dividends Murphy USA can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Murphy shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Murphy USA directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Murphy pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Murphy USA by the value of the dividends paid out.

Murphy USA Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.006
Forward Price Earnings17.8253

Murphy USA Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Murphy USA and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Murphy we look at many different elements of the entity such as Murphy's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Murphy USA, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Murphy USA's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Murphy USA's worth.

Complementary Tools for Murphy Stock analysis

When running Murphy USA's price analysis, check to measure Murphy USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy USA is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine