Murphy Usa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MUSA Stock | USD 542.49 5.31 0.97% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Murphy USA is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Murphy USA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MUSA positions.
Check out Murphy USA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Murphy Stock refer to our How to Trade Murphy Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Murphy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Murphy USA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Murphy |
Execute Murphy USA Buy or Sell Advice
The Murphy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Murphy USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Murphy USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Murphy USA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Murphy USA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 2nd of December 2024 Murphy USA paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Murphy USA Up 13.3 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue |
Murphy USA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Murphy USA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Murphy USA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Murphy USA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Murphy USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Murphy USA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Murphy USA.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -1.9 | Potential Upside | 2.61 | Standard Deviation | 1.45 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Murphy USA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Murphy Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 388.3 K | River Road Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 367.4 K | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 267.6 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 235.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 231.3 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 229.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 222.3 K | London Company Of Virginia | 2024-09-30 | 207.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 179.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M |
Murphy USA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (6.1M) | (51.7M) | 11.1M | (26.9M) | (22.1M) | (21.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | 95.8M | (116.7M) | 92.8M | (195.9M) | 57.3M | 60.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 108.5M | 333M | 462.7M | 689.4M | 448.4M | 239.9M | |
| Depreciation | 152.2M | 161M | 212.6M | 220.4M | 231.7M | 139.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 16.6M | 28.5M | 27.6M | 44.9M | 400K | 380K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 204.8M | 230.7M | 274.7M | 305.3M | 335.6M | 237.2M | |
| Net Income | 154.8M | 386.1M | 396.9M | 672.9M | 556.8M | 296.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 280.3M | 163.6M | 256.4M | 60.5M | 117.8M | 177.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 23.7M | 27.4M | 42.6M | 54M | 62.1M | 65.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | 155.9M | (38.9M) | 668.5M | (15.2M) | (13.7M) | (13.0M) | |
| Investments | (203.1M) | (224.3M) | (914.2M) | (319.3M) | (321.1M) | (337.2M) |
Murphy USA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Murphy USA or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Murphy USA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Murphy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Murphy USA Volatility Alert
Murphy USA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.04 and kurtosis of 0.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Murphy USA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Murphy USA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Murphy USA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Murphy USA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Murphy USA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Murphy USA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Murphy USA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Murphy USA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Murphy USA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Murphy USA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Murphy USA | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.61 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.36 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.25 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.03 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.15 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 24.07 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 13.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 21.53 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.48 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.07 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 556.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 192.7 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.53 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.27 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.94 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 40.99 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 784 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.20 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 24.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 495.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.76 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.21 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.34 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.28 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (46.3 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by David Miller of tradable shares of Murphy USA subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Murphy USA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Murphy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1953.57 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.72) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 546.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 544.9 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.31) |
About Murphy USA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Murphy USA? Buying financial instruments such as Murphy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Murphy USA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Murphy Stock refer to our How to Trade Murphy Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murphy USA. If investors know Murphy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murphy USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Dividend Share 1.72 | Earnings Share 24.21 | Revenue Per Share 880.266 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Murphy USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murphy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murphy USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murphy USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murphy USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murphy USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murphy USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Murphy USA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murphy USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.