AeroVironment Valuation

AVAV Stock  USD 190.87  5.63  2.87%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. AeroVironment shows a prevailing Real Value of $140.51 per share. The current price of the firm is $190.87. Our model approximates the value of AeroVironment from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 5.51 B, profit margin of 0.08 %, and Return On Equity of 0.083 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AeroVironment's valuation include:
Price Book
6.5546
Enterprise Value
5.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
53.6411
Price Sales
7.1411
Forward PE
62.1118
Overvalued
Today
190.87
Please note that AeroVironment's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AeroVironment is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AeroVironment's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the AeroVironment stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of AeroVironment. Since AeroVironment is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AeroVironment Stock. However, AeroVironment's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  190.87 Real  140.51 Target  121.0 Hype  190.68
The intrinsic value of AeroVironment's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AeroVironment's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
137.41
Downside
140.51
Real Value
209.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AeroVironment helps investors to forecast how AeroVironment stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AeroVironment more accurately as focusing exclusively on AeroVironment's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.630.720.71
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.58190.68193.78
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
110.11121.00134.31
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AeroVironment's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AeroVironment's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AeroVironment's closest peers.

AeroVironment Cash

108.69 Million

AeroVironment Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of AeroVironment's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of AeroVironment over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

AeroVironment Revenue by Product

AeroVironment Total Value Analysis

AeroVironment is presently forecasted to have valuation of 5.51 B with market capitalization of 5.38 B, debt of 59.68 M, and cash on hands of 132.86 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the AeroVironment fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.51 B
5.38 B
59.68 M
132.86 M

AeroVironment Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. AeroVironment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to AeroVironment's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, AeroVironment is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in December.

AeroVironment Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AeroVironment has an asset utilization ratio of 70.55 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.71 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AeroVironment is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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AeroVironment Ownership Allocation

AeroVironment holds a total of 28.2 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AeroVironment outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AeroVironment to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AeroVironment. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AeroVironment as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

AeroVironment Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 716.72 M. Net Income was 59.67 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 173.51 M.

About AeroVironment Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AeroVironment. We calculate exposure to AeroVironment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AeroVironment's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit283.3 M297.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.40  0.43 

AeroVironment Quarterly Retained Earnings

251.85 Million

AeroVironment Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as AeroVironment does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.106
Forward Price Earnings62.1118

AeroVironment Current Valuation Indicators

AeroVironment's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AeroVironment's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AeroVironment, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AeroVironment's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AeroVironment's worth.

Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis

When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.