Is AeroVironment Stock a Good Investment?

AeroVironment Investment Advice

  AVAV
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on AeroVironment stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating AeroVironment. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include AeroVironment in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine AeroVironment's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research AeroVironment's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help AeroVironment navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Aerospace & Defense space and any emerging trends that could impact AeroVironment's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare AeroVironment's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how AeroVironment is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if AeroVironment pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about AeroVironment's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in AeroVironment stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if AeroVironment is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Macroaxis provides advice on AeroVironment to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AeroVironment. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure AeroVironment is not overpriced, please confirm all AeroVironment fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that AeroVironment has a price to earning of 71.89 X, we suggest you to validate AeroVironment market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine AeroVironment Stock

Researching AeroVironment's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AeroVironment was presently reported as 30.73. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. AeroVironment had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if AeroVironment is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding AeroVironment's research are outlined below:
AeroVironment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AeroVironment Inc Shares Up 0.89 percent on Mar 19

AeroVironment Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

1.05 Billion

AeroVironment uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in AeroVironment. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to AeroVironment's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
4th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of June 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of April 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact AeroVironment's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises AeroVironment's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-11-25
2014-10-31-0.11-0.13-0.0218 
2012-09-05
2012-07-31-0.03-0.06-0.03100 
2008-06-24
2008-04-300.270.30.0311 
2007-12-04
2007-10-310.210.240.0314 
2020-09-09
2020-07-310.40.440.0410 
2018-03-06
2018-01-310.050.090.0480 
2015-03-03
2015-01-310.060.10.0466 
2008-09-09
2008-07-310.180.220.0422 

AeroVironment Target Price Consensus

AeroVironment target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AeroVironment's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   7  Strong Buy
Most AeroVironment analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand AeroVironment stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of AeroVironment, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

AeroVironment Target Price Projection

AeroVironment's current and average target prices are 125.01 and 230.74, respectively. The current price of AeroVironment is the price at which AeroVironment is currently trading. On the other hand, AeroVironment's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

AeroVironment Market Quote on 22nd of March 2025

Low Price122.47Odds
High Price125.15Odds

125.01

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On AeroVironment Target Price

Low Estimate209.97Odds
High Estimate256.12Odds

230.736

Historical Lowest Forecast  209.97 Target Price  230.74 Highest Forecast  256.12
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on AeroVironment and the information provided on this page.

AeroVironment Analyst Ratings

AeroVironment's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about AeroVironment stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of AeroVironment's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. AeroVironment's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know AeroVironment's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AeroVironment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AeroVironment backward and forwards among themselves. AeroVironment's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AeroVironment's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
423.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
413.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
380.7 K
Congress Asset Management Company, Llp2024-12-31
333.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
299.6 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
287.9 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
270.5 K
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
267.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
264.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
4.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Note, although AeroVironment's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AeroVironment's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.53 B.

Market Cap

4.11 Billion

AeroVironment's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.10 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.02) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.02.
Determining AeroVironment's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if AeroVironment is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures AeroVironment's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of AeroVironment's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

AeroVironment's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the imprecision that can be found in AeroVironment's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of AeroVironment. Check AeroVironment's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of AeroVironment's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate AeroVironment's management efficiency

AeroVironment has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0215 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0215 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0394 %, meaning that it created $0.0394 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. AeroVironment's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AeroVironment manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to climb to 0.10 in 2025, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.06 in 2025. At this time, AeroVironment's Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 27.22  28.58 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 15.71  9.74 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 37.79  39.68 
Price Book Value Ratio 6.08  6.49 
Enterprise Value Multiple 37.79  39.68 
Price Fair Value 6.08  6.49 
Enterprise Value3.9 B4.1 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of AeroVironment allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The AeroVironment Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Beta
0.418

Basic technical analysis of AeroVironment Stock

As of the 22nd of March, AeroVironment shows the Mean Deviation of 2.13, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Standard Deviation of 2.84. AeroVironment technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm AeroVironment information ratio and skewness to decide if AeroVironment is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 125.01 per share. Given that AeroVironment has information ratio of (0.07), we suggest you to validate AeroVironment's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

AeroVironment's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AeroVironment insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AeroVironment's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AeroVironment insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

AeroVironment's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

AeroVironment issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AeroVironment uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AeroVironment bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AeroVironment has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand AeroVironment's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing AeroVironment's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider AeroVironment's intraday indicators

AeroVironment intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AeroVironment stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

AeroVironment Corporate Filings

8K
14th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
6th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
5th of March 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
12th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
AeroVironment time-series forecasting models is one of many AeroVironment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AeroVironment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

AeroVironment Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about AeroVironment that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through AeroVironment media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via AeroVironment internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of AeroVironment data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of AeroVironment news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of AeroVironment relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to AeroVironment's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive AeroVironment alpha.

AeroVironment Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards AeroVironment can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

AeroVironment Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to AeroVironment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AeroVironment. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AeroVironment can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AeroVironment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
AeroVironment's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for AeroVironment and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average AeroVironment news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on AeroVironment.

AeroVironment Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

AeroVironment's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of AeroVironment close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of AeroVironment's options.

AeroVironment Corporate Management

Already Invested in AeroVironment?

The danger of trading AeroVironment is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of AeroVironment is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than AeroVironment. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile AeroVironment is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis

When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.