Aerovironment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AVAV Stock | USD 156.99 0.00 0.00% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AeroVironment is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AeroVironment given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AeroVironment, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out AeroVironment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy AeroVironment Stock please use our How to Invest in AeroVironment guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AeroVironment and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AeroVironment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
AeroVironment |
Execute AeroVironment Buy or Sell Advice
The AeroVironment recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AeroVironment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AeroVironment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AeroVironment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
AeroVironment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AeroVironment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AeroVironment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
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AeroVironment Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AeroVironment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AeroVironment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AeroVironment daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AeroVironment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AeroVironment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AeroVironment.
| Mean Return | -0.5 | Value At Risk | -6.12 | Potential Upside | 4.75 | Standard Deviation | 3.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AeroVironment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AeroVironment Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as AeroVironment, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AeroVironment back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 423.3 K | Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 412.6 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 378.2 K | Congress Asset Management Company, Llp | 2024-12-31 | 333.2 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 332.9 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 270.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 267.8 K | International Assets Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 267.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 264.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M |
AeroVironment Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.2M) | (27.2M) | (61.8M) | 13.9M | 12.5M | 13.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (98.1M) | (79.8M) | 55.6M | (59.6M) | (53.6M) | (50.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 75.3M | (31.9M) | (3.5M) | (9.2M) | (8.3M) | (7.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 19.3M | 60.8M | 100.0M | 35.7M | 41.1M | 43.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.6M | 11.1M | 179.7M | 32.9M | 37.9M | 39.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 11.3M | 22.3M | 14.9M | 24.5M | 28.2M | 29.6M | |
| Net Income | 23.3M | (4.2M) | (176.2M) | 59.7M | 53.7M | 56.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 157.1M | 77.2M | 132.9M | 73.3M | 84.3M | 109.2M | |
| Investments | 18.1M | 41.8M | (7.0M) | (51.7M) | (59.5M) | (56.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (42.9M) | 17.2M | 3.1M | (27.4M) | (24.7M) | (23.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.6M | 20.7M | 15.6M | 162.6M | 186.9M | 196.3M |
AeroVironment Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AeroVironment or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AeroVironment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AeroVironment stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
AeroVironment Volatility Alert
AeroVironment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.99 and kurtosis of 4.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AeroVironment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AeroVironment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AeroVironment Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AeroVironment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AeroVironment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AeroVironment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AeroVironment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AeroVironment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AeroVironment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AeroVironment to competition |
| Fundamentals | AeroVironment | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0589 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0322 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 28.22 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.15 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.87 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 71.89 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 716.72 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 298.03 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 103.2 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 59.67 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 132.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.27 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 59.68 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.73 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 30.65 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.29 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.70 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.72 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 226.74 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.4 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.52 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.43 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.02 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 230.69 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 370.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Page Stephen F of 7900 shares of AeroVironment subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AeroVironment Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AeroVironment . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0306 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 158.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 158.24 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.87) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.04 |
About AeroVironment Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AeroVironment? Buying financial instruments such as AeroVironment Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis
When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.