United Natural Foods Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

UNFI Stock  USD 26.73  0.14  0.53%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as United Natural Foods. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in United Natural over a specified time horizon. Remember, high United Natural's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to United Natural's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
1.31
Alpha
0.39
Risk
3.19
Sharpe Ratio
(0.01)
Expected Return
(0.02)
Please note that although United Natural alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, United Natural did 0.39  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of United Natural Foods stock's relative risk over its benchmark. United Natural Foods has a beta of 1.31  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, United Natural will likely underperform. As of now, United Natural's Price Fair Value is decreasing as compared to previous years. The United Natural's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 1.6 B, while Book Value Per Share is projected to decrease to 13.51.

Enterprise Value

1.58 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out United Natural Backtesting, United Natural Valuation, United Natural Correlation, United Natural Hype Analysis, United Natural Volatility, United Natural History and analyze United Natural Performance.

United Natural Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. United Natural market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding United Natural long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in United Natural. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate United Natural's performance over market.
α0.39   β1.31

United Natural expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of United Natural's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how United Natural performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

United Natural Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how United Natural stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying United Natural stock market price indicators, traders can identify United Natural position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

United Natural Return and Market Media

The median price of United Natural for the period between Sun, Dec 15, 2024 and Sat, Mar 15, 2025 is 28.46 with a coefficient of variation of 8.07. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.32, arithmetic mean of 28.8, and mean deviation of 1.86. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Acquisition by J Douglas of 123304 shares of United Natural subject to Rule 16b-3
12/13/2024
2
Disposition of 2086 shares by Matt Echols of United Natural at 25.88 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/20/2024
3
Acquisition by Louis Martin of 198 shares of United Natural subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2024
4
Insider Trading
01/03/2025
5
UNFI Private label expected to soar over the next few years
01/24/2025
6
Mondelez Lags Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
02/04/2025
7
Disposition of 13700 shares by Mark Bushway of United Natural at 32.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/12/2025
8
Conagra Brands Revises Fiscal 2025 Outlook, Prepares for Growth
02/18/2025
9
CL Set to Expand Hills Pet Nutrition With the Prime100 Acquisition
02/19/2025
10
21,000 Shares in United Natural Foods, Inc. Bought by Hussman Strategic Advisors Inc.
02/21/2025
11
FleetNet America by Cox Automotive Doubles Down on its Commitment to Keep U.S. Fleets on the Road and Running Strong
02/27/2025
12
Disposition of tradable shares by Andre Persaud of United Natural subject to Rule 16b-3
03/06/2025
13
TEAMSTERS AT UNFI HOLD PRACTICE PICKETS
03/07/2025
14
United Natural Foods Q2 2025 Earnings Preview
03/10/2025
15
UNFI plans agile response to Trump tariffs
03/11/2025
16
Samsara Benefits From Expanding Portfolio and Strong Partnerships
03/13/2025

About United Natural Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including United or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in United Natural Foods has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2015 2020 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding15.1611.2314.9423.73
PTB Ratio0.930.531.312.5

United Natural Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of United Natural's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, United Natural's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of United Natural's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of United Natural. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of United Natural's management manipulating its earnings.
13th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
5th of June 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
24th of September 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of July 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Build Portfolio with United Natural

Your optimized portfolios are the building block of your wealth. We provide an intuitive interface to determine which securities in a portfolio should be removed or rebalanced to achieve better diversification, find the right mix of securities that minimizes portfolio risk for a given return, or maximize portfolio expected return for a given risk level.

Build Diversified Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether United Natural Foods offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United Natural's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United Natural Foods Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United Natural Foods Stock:
United Natural technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of United Natural technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of United Natural trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...