United Natural Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| UNFI Stock | USD 32.46 1.08 3.44% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding United Natural Foods is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of United Natural's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out United Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards United Natural Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
United |
Execute United Natural Buy or Sell Advice
The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Natural Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Natural Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
United Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| United Natural Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.98 B. Net Loss for the year was (110 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.21 B. | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Some Investors May Be Worried About United Natural Foods Returns On Capital |
United Natural Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of United Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Natural Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Natural.
| Mean Return | 0.66 | Value At Risk | -3.47 | Potential Upside | 5.08 | Standard Deviation | 3.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
United Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 756.6 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 706.5 K | Hauser Brothers Gmbh | 2024-12-31 | 696.1 K | Rima Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 665 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 657.3 K | Private Management Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 655.6 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 639.7 K | Towle & Co | 2024-12-31 | 622.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 566.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 9.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 7.6 M |
United Natural Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 14M | (264M) | (57M) | 104M | 93.6M | 98.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 1.8M | (6M) | 3M | (7M) | 3.5M | 3.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 304M | 80M | 301M | (92M) | (105.8M) | (100.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (13M) | 59M | 118M | 49M | 56.4M | 49.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 310M | 251M | 323M | 345M | 396.8M | 416.6M | |
| Net Income | 149M | 254M | 30M | (110M) | (126.5M) | (120.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 41M | 44M | 37M | 40M | 46M | 48.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | (467.9M) | (706M) | (238M) | (184M) | (165.6M) | (157.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 3M | 1M | 14M | 12M | 13.8M | 14.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 464.4M | 59M | 142M | 116M | 133.4M | 120.5M | |
| Investments | (237M) | (49M) | (32M) | (342M) | (307.8M) | (292.4M) |
United Natural Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Natural or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
United Natural Volatility Alert
United Natural Foods currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.18 and Jensen Alpha of 0.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.United Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing United Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare United Natural to competition |
| Fundamentals | United Natural | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0548 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0133 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.75 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.92 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.85 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 30.98 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.21 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 356 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (110 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.81 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.55 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.89 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.13 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 253 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.57) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.74 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 29.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 28.33 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.53 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.04 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
United Natural Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About United Natural Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell United Natural Foods? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having United Natural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Soft Drinks
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Check out United Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Natural. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (1.57) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 | Return On Assets |
The market value of United Natural Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.