First Watch Restaurant Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis
| FWRG Stock | USD 16.49 0.07 0.43% |
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as First Watch Restaurant. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in First Watch over a specified time horizon. Remember, high First Watch's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to First Watch's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta 1.49 | Alpha (0.03) | Risk 3.05 | Sharpe Ratio (0.09) | Expected Return (0.26) |
Enterprise Value |
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Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
First |
First Watch Market Premiums
Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. First Watch market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding First Watch long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in First Watch. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate First Watch's performance over market.| α | -0.03 | β | 1.49 |
First Watch expected buy-and-hold returns
Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of First Watch's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how First Watch performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.First Watch Market Price Analysis
Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how First Watch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Watch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying First Watch stock market price indicators, traders can identify First Watch position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Watch Return and Market Media
The median price of First Watch for the period between Sun, Dec 15, 2024 and Sat, Mar 15, 2025 is 19.5 with a coefficient of variation of 6.17. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 1.21, arithmetic mean of 19.65, and mean deviation of 0.97. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period. Price Growth (%) |
| Timeline |
1 | First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Reports Preliminary Operational Metrics for the Fourth ... | 01/13/2025 |
2 | First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Given Consensus Rating of Moderate Buy by Analysts - MarketBeat | 02/06/2025 |
3 | First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Financial ... | 02/18/2025 |
4 | Why Investors Shouldnt Be Surprised By First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.s 25 percent Share Price Surge | 02/19/2025 |
5 | Is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.s Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way | 02/24/2025 |
6 | New York State Common Retirement Fund Raises Position in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. - MarketBeat | 02/28/2025 |
7 | Mutual of America Capital Management LLC Grows Holdings in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. - MarketBeat | 03/04/2025 |
8 | Analysts Set First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Price Target at 23.30 - MarketBeat | 03/07/2025 |
9 | First Watch Earnings What To Look For From FWRG | 03/10/2025 |
10 | Compared to Estimates, First Watch Restaurant Group Q4 Earnings A Look at Key Metrics | 03/11/2025 |
11 | BJs Restaurants Down 9 percent in 3 Months Should You Buy the Dip | 03/13/2025 |
About First Watch Beta and Alpha
For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including First or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in First Watch Restaurant has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.6 | 2.26 | 3.4 | PTB Ratio | 1.88 | 2.13 | 2.87 |
First Watch Upcoming Company Events
As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of First Watch's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, First Watch's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of First Watch's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of First Watch. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of First Watch's management manipulating its earnings.
| 5th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 7th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 5th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
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Check out First Watch Backtesting, First Watch Valuation, First Watch Correlation, First Watch Hype Analysis, First Watch Volatility, First Watch History and analyze First Watch Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
First Watch technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.