Forestar Group Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

FOR Stock  USD 21.64  0.57  2.71%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Forestar Group. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Forestar over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Forestar's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Forestar's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.54
Alpha
(0.35)
Risk
2.41
Sharpe Ratio
(0.15)
Expected Return
(0.36)
Please note that although Forestar alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Forestar did 0.35  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Forestar Group stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Forestar Group has a beta of 0.54  . As returns on the market increase, Forestar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Forestar is expected to be smaller as well. At this time, Forestar's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/14/2025, Enterprise Value Multiple is likely to grow to 73.59, while Tangible Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 13.64.

Forestar Quarterly Cash And Equivalents

616 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Forestar Backtesting, Forestar Valuation, Forestar Correlation, Forestar Hype Analysis, Forestar Volatility, Forestar History and analyze Forestar Performance.

Forestar Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Forestar market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Forestar long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Forestar. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Forestar's performance over market.
α-0.35   β0.54

Forestar expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Forestar's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Forestar performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Forestar Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Forestar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Forestar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Forestar stock market price indicators, traders can identify Forestar position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Forestar Return and Market Media

The median price of Forestar for the period between Sat, Dec 14, 2024 and Fri, Mar 14, 2025 is 24.1 with a coefficient of variation of 8.59. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.11, arithmetic mean of 24.55, and mean deviation of 1.83. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Acquisition by Ringler G.f. Iii of 1207 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3
12/27/2024
2
Is Forestar Group Inc. the Best Housing Stock to Invest In According to Analysts
01/03/2025
3
Acquisition by Mark Walker of 1120 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3
01/17/2025
4
Forestar earnings missed by 0.38, revenue fell short of estimates
01/21/2025
5
Swedbank AB Invests 1.30 Million in Forestar Group Inc.
02/03/2025
6
Acquisition by Anthony Oxley of 4300 shares of Forestar at 23.1406 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/14/2025
7
Forestar Group Downgraded to Sell Rating by StockNews.com
02/21/2025
8
Streetleaf Becomes a National Vendor for Forestar Brings New Solar-Powered, Innovative and Cost-Effective Streetlights as an Option to Communities Nationwide
02/25/2025
9
Forestar Group Reaches New 12-Month Low - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
02/28/2025
10
Forestar Group Inc. Announces Tender Offer for Any and All of its 3.850 percent Senior Notes due 2026
03/05/2025
11
Forestar Group Inc Announces 500 Million Senior Unsecured Notes Offering
03/06/2025
12
Disposition of 749 shares by Mark Walker of Forestar at 35.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/07/2025
13
Disposition of 1203 shares by James Allen of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3
03/10/2025
14
Forestar Group Inc. Announces Pricing Terms of Tender Offer for Any and All of its 3.850 percent Senior Notes due 2026
03/11/2025
15
AlphaQuest LLC Boosts Stock Position in Forestar Group Inc.
03/13/2025

About Forestar Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Forestar or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Forestar Group has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2023 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding2.749.0224.88
PTB Ratio0.471.021.34

Forestar Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Forestar's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Forestar's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Forestar's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Forestar. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Forestar's management manipulating its earnings.
18th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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18th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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5th of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis

When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.