Forestar Group Stock Performance
| FOR Stock | USD 22.42 0.17 0.76% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Forestar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Forestar is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Forestar Group has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Forestar's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Forestar Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Forestar Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.76 | Five Day Return 4.91 | Year To Date Return (12.49) | Ten Year Return 42.26 | All Time Return (6.58) |
1 | Acquisition by Ringler G.f. Iii of 1207 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/27/2024 |
2 | D.R. Horton shareholders approve executive pay, re-elect directors | 01/17/2025 |
3 | Forestar Group First Quarter 2025 Earnings Misses Expectations | 01/22/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Anthony Oxley of 4300 shares of Forestar at 23.1406 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/14/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 2000 shares by Parmer Elizabeth of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/28/2025 |
6 | Forestar Group Inc. Announces Tender Offer for Any and All of its 3.850 percent Senior Notes due 2026 | 03/05/2025 |
7 | Forestar prices 500M senior unsecured notes | 03/06/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 749 shares by Mark Walker of Forestar at 35.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/07/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 1203 shares by James Allen of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/10/2025 |
10 | Forestar Group Inc. A Bull Case Theory | 03/11/2025 |
11 | Forestar Group Inc. Announces Expiration and Final Results of Tender Offer for Any and All of its 3.850 percent Senior Notes due 2026 | 03/12/2025 |
12 | Why Forestar Group Inc. Is Plunging In 2025 | 03/14/2025 |
13 | Disposition of 1554 shares by Mark Walker of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/18/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 616 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -158.4 M |
Forestar |
Forestar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,596 in Forestar Group on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (354.00) from holding Forestar Group or give up 13.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Forestar Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3686% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Forestar, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Forestar Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forestar's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Forestar Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Forestar's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0912
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | FOR |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.37 actual daily | 21 79% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.22 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.09 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Forestar is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Forestar by adding Forestar to a well-diversified portfolio.
Forestar Fundamentals Growth
Forestar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Forestar, and Forestar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Forestar Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0489 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.79 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.67 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.69 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.78 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.51 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 341.4 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 240.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 203.4 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 616 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 716.6 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 31.84 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (158.4 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.62 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.13 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.84 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 878.2 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 99.9 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 111.47 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 59.26 M | ||||
About Forestar Performance
Assessing Forestar's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Forestar's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Forestar is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.45 | 8.97 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.09 |
Things to note about Forestar Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forestar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Forestar Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Forestar Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Forestar Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Forestar Group has 716.6 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Forestar Group has about 616 M in cash with (158.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.94. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1554 shares by Mark Walker of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Forestar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Forestar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Forestar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Forestar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Forestar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Forestar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Forestar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Forestar Stock Analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.