Shoe Carnival Stock Analysis

SCVL Stock  USD 33.61  0.08  0.24%   
Shoe Carnival is overvalued with Real Value of 28.78 and Target Price of 29.33. The main objective of Shoe Carnival stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Shoe Carnival is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Shoe Carnival's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Shoe Carnival stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.

Shoe Stock Analysis Notes

About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shoe Carnival has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of July 2021. Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana. Shoe Carnival operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2600 people. To find out more about Shoe Carnival contact the company at 812 867 4034 or learn more at https://www.shoecarnival.com.

Shoe Carnival Quarterly Total Revenue

306.88 Million

Shoe Carnival Investment Alerts

Shoe Carnival generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Shoe Carnival has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of October 2024 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.135 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Shoe Carnival Inc Shares Gap Down to 33.89 on Nov 26

Shoe Carnival Upcoming and Recent Events

27th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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22nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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27th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Shoe Carnival Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Shoe Carnival's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Shoe Carnival's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Shoe Carnival's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Shoe Carnival's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Shoe Carnival Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Shoe Carnival stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Apparel Idea
Apparel
USA Equities from Apparel industry as classified by Fama & French

Shoe Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
346.8 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
333.2 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
300.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
268.4 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-09-30
267.7 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
262.9 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
261.3 K
Newsouth Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
259.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
234 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
M
Note, although Shoe Carnival's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Shoe Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 913.31 M.

Shoe Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.06 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.09 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.09.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07 (0.07)
Return On Capital Employed 0.10 (0.08)
Return On Assets 0.07 (0.07)
Return On Equity 0.13 (0.12)

Management Efficiency

Shoe Carnival has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0587 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0587 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1316 %, meaning that it created $0.1316 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Shoe Carnival's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Shoe Carnival manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.07. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.08. At this time, Shoe Carnival's Intangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Debt To Assets is expected to rise to 0.19 this year, although the value of Net Tangible Assets will most likely fall to about 351.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 21.42  1.52 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 19.79  1.52 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.75 (36.87)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.23  0.86 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.75 (36.87)
Price Fair Value 1.23  0.86 
Enterprise Value63 M59.9 M
The leadership approach at Shoe Carnival's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0161
Operating Margin
0.0904
Profit Margin
0.0626
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0161
Beta
1.557

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Shoe Carnival has the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), variance of 8.27, and Coefficient Of Variation of (869.38). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Shoe Carnival, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Shoe Carnival market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Shoe Carnival is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 33.61 per share. Given that Shoe Carnival has information ratio of (0.16), we advise you to double-check Shoe Carnival's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Shoe Carnival Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Shoe Carnival middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Shoe Carnival. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Shoe Carnival Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Shoe Carnival insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Shoe Carnival's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Shoe Carnival insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Shoe Carnival Outstanding Bonds

Shoe Carnival issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Shoe Carnival uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Shoe bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Shoe Carnival has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Shoe Carnival Predictive Daily Indicators

Shoe Carnival intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Shoe Carnival stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Shoe Carnival Corporate Filings

8K
21st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
4th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of September 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
5th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
27th of June 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
26th of June 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
7th of June 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

Shoe Carnival Forecast Models

Shoe Carnival's time-series forecasting models are one of many Shoe Carnival's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Shoe Carnival's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Shoe Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Shoe Carnival prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Shoe shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Shoe Carnival. By using and applying Shoe Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Shoe entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08 (0.05)
Operating Profit Margin 0.08 (0.03)
Net Loss 0.06 (0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.25 

Current Shoe Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Shoe analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Shoe analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
29.33Strong Buy3Odds
Shoe Carnival current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Shoe analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Shoe stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Shoe Carnival, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Shoe conference calls.
Shoe Analyst Advice Details

Shoe Stock Analysis Indicators

Shoe Carnival stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Shoe Carnival stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Shoe Carnival shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Shoe Carnival stock analysis, traders can identify Shoe Carnival position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow51.4 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity583.4 M
Tax Provision22.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.155
Property Plant And Equipment Net502.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments111.2 M
Cash99 M
Accounts Payable58.3 M
Net Debt255.3 M
50 Day M A38.4364
Total Current Liabilities127.9 M
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total560.7 M
Forward Price Earnings11.4416
Non Currrent Assets Other13.6 M
Stock Based Compensation4.9 M
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.155
Earnings Share
2.73
Revenue Per Share
45.392
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.129
Return On Assets
0.0587
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.