Shoe Carnival Stock Performance
| SCVL Stock | USD 22.44 0.21 0.93% |
The entity has a beta of 0.48, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shoe Carnival's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shoe Carnival is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Shoe Carnival has a negative expected return of -0.69%. Please make sure to validate Shoe Carnival's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Shoe Carnival performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Shoe Carnival has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.93) | Five Day Return 2.61 | Year To Date Return (30.55) | Ten Year Return 62.49 | All Time Return 552.33 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0264 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.6 | Dividend Date 2025-01-27 |
1 | Disposition of 4265 shares by Marc Chilton of Shoe Carnival at 29.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/17/2025 |
| Shoe Carnival dividend paid on 27th of January 2025 | 01/27/2025 |
2 | Shoe Carnival Passes Through 2 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq | 01/29/2025 |
3 | Shoe Carnival Sets New 1-Year Low - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 02/07/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 9585 shares by Carl Scibetta of Shoe Carnival at 35.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/25/2025 |
5 | Shoe Carnival Promotes Tanya Gordon to Chief Merchandising Officer | 03/05/2025 |
6 | Shoe Carnival stock target cut to 35 at Williams Trading - Investing.com | 03/10/2025 |
7 | Acquisition by Carl Scibetta of 16330 shares of Shoe Carnival subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/12/2025 |
8 | Brokers Issue Forecasts for Shoe Carnival FY2028 Earnings | 03/13/2025 |
9 | Shoe Carnival Q4 Earnings What To Expect | 03/19/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 51.4 M |
Shoe |
Shoe Carnival Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,450 in Shoe Carnival on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,206) from holding Shoe Carnival or give up 34.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shoe Carnival is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.3528% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Shoe, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shoe Carnival Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shoe Carnival's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Shoe Carnival, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Shoe Carnival's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.292
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | SCVL |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.35 actual daily | 20 80% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.69 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.29 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Shoe Carnival is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Shoe Carnival by adding Shoe Carnival to a well-diversified portfolio.
Shoe Carnival Fundamentals Growth
Shoe Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shoe Carnival, and Shoe Carnival fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shoe Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0573 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 900.52 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 27.17 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 6.77 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.97 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.50 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.18 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 436.83 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 125.22 M | ||||
| Net Income | 73.35 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 47.52 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.73 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 354.34 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.65 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.84 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 23.39 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 122.76 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.72 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 615.51 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.04 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 714.65 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 353.46 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 370.08 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 87.93 M | ||||
About Shoe Carnival Performance
By examining Shoe Carnival's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shoe Carnival's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shoe Carnival is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 133.39 | 118.07 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.12) | (0.11) |
Things to note about Shoe Carnival performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shoe Carnival for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shoe Carnival help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shoe Carnival generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of January 2025 Shoe Carnival paid $ 0.135 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Shoe Carnival Q4 Earnings What To Expect |
- Analyzing Shoe Carnival's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shoe Carnival's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shoe Carnival's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shoe Carnival's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shoe Carnival's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shoe Carnival's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shoe Carnival's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 0.525 | Earnings Share 2.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.