National Cinemedia Stock Analysis

NCMI Stock  USD 5.72  0.10  1.72%   
National CineMedia is undervalued with Real Value of 7.01 and Target Price of 8.06. The main objective of National CineMedia stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National CineMedia is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National CineMedia's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The National CineMedia stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and National CineMedia's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National CineMedia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.

National Stock Analysis Notes

About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National CineMedia recorded a loss per share of 0.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2025. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2023. National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado. National Cinemedia operates under Advertising Agencies classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 346 people. To find out more about National CineMedia contact Thomas Lesinski at 303 792 3600 or learn more at https://www.ncm.com.

National CineMedia Quarterly Total Revenue

86.3 Million

National CineMedia Investment Alerts

National CineMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
National CineMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
National CineMedia currently holds 10 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 240.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116 M.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: National CineMedia Stock Price Up 4.4 percent Should You Buy

National CineMedia Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National CineMedia previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

National Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National CineMedia's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2013-05-02
2013-03-31-0.01-0.0183-0.008383 
2024-11-05
2024-09-30-0.03-0.04-0.0133 
2024-08-05
2024-06-30-0.08-0.09-0.0112 
View All Earnings Estimates

National CineMedia Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

National CineMedia's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates National CineMedia's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of National CineMedia's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect National CineMedia's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

National CineMedia Thematic Classifications

In addition to having National CineMedia stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Communication Services Idea
Communication Services
Networking, telecom, long distance carriers, and other communication services
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French
Advertising Idea
Advertising
Advertising and advertising agencies
ISP Idea
ISP
Internet Service Providers
Wireless Idea
Wireless
Wireless technology and communications
Compulsion Idea
Compulsion
Addiction driven consumer products and services

National Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
1.5 M
State Street Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Whitebox Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Barclays Plc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Manatuck Hill Partners Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Contrarian Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
739.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
728.9 K
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
684.7 K
Blantyre Capital Ltd2024-12-31
26.7 M
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
M
Note, although National CineMedia's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

National Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 544.6 M.

National Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.09) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.23 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.23.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.49)(0.46)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.14)(0.14)
Return On Equity 0.47  0.49 

Management Efficiency

National CineMedia has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0206) % which means that it has lost $0.0206 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0527) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. National CineMedia's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National CineMedia manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The National CineMedia's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.49, while Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to increase to (0.46). As of now, National CineMedia's Intangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The National CineMedia's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 694.2 M, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (1 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(34.50)(36.22)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(115.13)(120.89)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.00  9.46 
Price Book Value Ratio(1.08)(1.02)
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.00  9.46 
Price Fair Value(1.08)(1.02)
Enterprise Value1.8 B1.5 B
National CineMedia has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Operating Margin
0.2341
Profit Margin
(0.09)
Beta
2.19
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.05)

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of March, National CineMedia secures the Standard Deviation of 3.3, mean deviation of 2.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National CineMedia, as well as the relationship between them.

National CineMedia Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National CineMedia middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National CineMedia. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

National CineMedia Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National CineMedia insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National CineMedia's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National CineMedia insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

National CineMedia Outstanding Bonds

National CineMedia issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National CineMedia uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National CineMedia has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

National CineMedia Predictive Daily Indicators

National CineMedia intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National CineMedia stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

National CineMedia Corporate Filings

21st of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
17th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
13th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
12th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
11th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
6th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
26th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

National CineMedia Forecast Models

National CineMedia's time-series forecasting models are one of many National CineMedia's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National CineMedia's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About National Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National CineMedia prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National CineMedia. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.40  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin(0.66)(0.62)
Net Loss(1.40)(1.33)
Gross Profit Margin 0.89  0.62 

Current National Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
8.06Strong Buy4Odds
National CineMedia current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National CineMedia, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details

National Stock Analysis Indicators

National CineMedia stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National CineMedia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National CineMedia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National CineMedia stock analysis, traders can identify National CineMedia position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow37.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity411.2 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net16.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.2 M
Cash75.1 M
50 Day M A6.4574
Net Interest Income700 K
Total Current Liabilities73.5 M
Forward Price Earnings31.6456
Investments-5.7 M
Interest Expense1.7 M
Stock Based Compensation12.2 M
Long Term Debt10 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.9 M
Tax Provision200 K
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.064
Free Cash Flow54.5 M
Other Current Assets17.4 M
Accounts Payable23 M
Net Debt-65.1 M
Other Operating Expenses260.3 M
Non Current Assets Total390.7 M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity568.6 M
Non Currrent Assets Other19.7 M

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When running National CineMedia's price analysis, check to measure National CineMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National CineMedia is operating at the current time. Most of National CineMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National CineMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National CineMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National CineMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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