National Cinemedia Stock Performance
| NCMI Stock | USD 5.72 0.10 1.72% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.68, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, National CineMedia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National CineMedia is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, National CineMedia has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to verify National CineMedia's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if National CineMedia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days National CineMedia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.72) | Five Day Return (3.87) | Year To Date Return (13.46) | Ten Year Return (96.25) | All Time Return (97.77) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Dividend Date 2022-09-06 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-03-24 | Last Split Date 2023-08-04 |
1 | Disposition of 310000 shares by Thomas Lesinski of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2024 |
2 | National CineMedia Launches 2025 US Young Lions Competition | 01/08/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Bell Nicholas of 10627 shares of National CineMedia at 4.705 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/07/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 22967 shares by Thomas Lesinski of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/24/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Thomas Lesinski of 22967 shares of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/26/2025 |
6 | National CineMedia Q4 Earnings Snapshot | 03/06/2025 |
7 | National CineMedia Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Box Office Growth Amid ... | 03/07/2025 |
8 | Acquisition by Blantyre Capital Ltd of 43973 shares of National CineMedia at 5.18 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/10/2025 |
9 | Acquisition by Blantyre Capital Ltd of 44117 shares of National CineMedia at 5.32 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/12/2025 |
10 | NCM Unveils Strategic Growth Opportunities for Long-Term Shareholder Value Creation at 2025 Investor Day | 03/13/2025 |
11 | North American Box Office Revenue Expected to Grow in 2025, Wedbush Upgrades NCMI Stock | 03/17/2025 |
12 | Disposition of 17669 shares by Ronnie Ng of National CineMedia at 6.0261 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/19/2025 |
13 | Blantyre Capital Ltd Increases Stake in National CineMedia Inc | 03/21/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 37.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 54.5 M |
National |
National CineMedia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 660.00 in National CineMedia on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (88.00) from holding National CineMedia or give up 13.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. National CineMedia is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.4061% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than National, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
National CineMedia Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National CineMedia's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as National CineMedia, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a National CineMedia's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0511
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | NCMI |
Estimated Market Risk
| 3.41 actual daily | 30 70% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.17 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.05 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average National CineMedia is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of National CineMedia by adding National CineMedia to a well-diversified portfolio.
National CineMedia Fundamentals Growth
National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National CineMedia, and National CineMedia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0527 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0206 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 479.88 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 95.21 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.96 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.26 X | ||||
| Revenue | 240.8 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 116 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (1.3 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (22.3 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 73.4 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.90 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 10 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | (3.06) % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.29 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 60.3 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.23) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 544.6 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 568.6 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 280.9 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 104.4 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 203.6 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 124.7 M | ||||
About National CineMedia Performance
By evaluating National CineMedia's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into National CineMedia's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if National CineMedia has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if National CineMedia has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (38.27) | (40.19) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.49) | (0.46) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | 0.49 |
Things to note about National CineMedia performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about National CineMedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National CineMedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National CineMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National CineMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| National CineMedia currently holds 10 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 240.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Blantyre Capital Ltd Increases Stake in National CineMedia Inc |
- Analyzing National CineMedia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National CineMedia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining National CineMedia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating National CineMedia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National CineMedia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National CineMedia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National CineMedia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running National CineMedia's price analysis, check to measure National CineMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National CineMedia is operating at the current time. Most of National CineMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National CineMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National CineMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National CineMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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