Is National CineMedia Stock a Good Investment?
National CineMedia Investment Advice | NCMI |
- Examine National CineMedia's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research National CineMedia's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help National CineMedia navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Advertising space and any emerging trends that could impact National CineMedia's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare National CineMedia's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how National CineMedia is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if National CineMedia pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about National CineMedia's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in National CineMedia stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if National CineMedia is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine National CineMedia Stock
Researching National CineMedia's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National CineMedia recorded a loss per share of 0.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2025. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2023.
To determine if National CineMedia is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding National CineMedia's research are outlined below:
| National CineMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National CineMedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| National CineMedia currently holds 10 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 240.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: National CineMedia Stock Price Up 4.4 percent Should You Buy |
National CineMedia Quarterly Accounts Payable |
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National CineMedia uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in National CineMedia. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National CineMedia's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 6th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 6th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact National CineMedia's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises National CineMedia's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013-05-02 | 2013-03-31 | -0.01 | -0.0183 | -0.0083 | 83 | ||
2024-11-05 | 2024-09-30 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 33 | ||
2024-08-05 | 2024-06-30 | -0.08 | -0.09 | -0.01 | 12 | ||
2022-03-03 | 2021-12-31 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2020-05-05 | 2020-03-31 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2019-08-05 | 2019-06-30 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
2019-05-06 | 2019-03-31 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 50 | ||
2016-05-04 | 2016-03-31 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 25 |
National CineMedia Target Price Consensus
National target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National CineMedia's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 4 | Strong Buy |
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of National CineMedia, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationNational CineMedia Target Price Projection
National CineMedia's current and average target prices are 5.72 and 8.06, respectively. The current price of National CineMedia is the price at which National CineMedia is currently trading. On the other hand, National CineMedia's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
National CineMedia Market Quote on 24th of March 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On National CineMedia Target Price
National CineMedia Analyst Ratings
National CineMedia's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about National CineMedia stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of National CineMedia's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. National CineMedia's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know National CineMedia's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National CineMedia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National CineMedia backward and forwards among themselves. National CineMedia's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National CineMedia's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Whitebox Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Barclays Plc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Manatuck Hill Partners Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Contrarian Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 739.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 728.9 K | Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 684.7 K | Blantyre Capital Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 26.7 M | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 7 M |
National CineMedia's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 544.6 M.Market Cap |
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National CineMedia's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.49) | (0.46) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | 0.49 |
Determining National CineMedia's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if National CineMedia is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures National CineMedia's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of National CineMedia's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate National CineMedia's management efficiency
National CineMedia has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0206) % which means that it has lost $0.0206 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0527) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. National CineMedia's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National CineMedia manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The National CineMedia's current Return On Equity is estimated to increase to 0.49, while Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to increase to (0.46). As of now, National CineMedia's Intangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The National CineMedia's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 694.2 M, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to (1 B).| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | (34.50) | (36.22) | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | (115.13) | (120.89) | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 9.00 | 9.46 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | (1.08) | (1.02) | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.00 | 9.46 | |
| Price Fair Value | (1.08) | (1.02) | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.8 B | 1.5 B |
National CineMedia has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Beta 2.19 |
Basic technical analysis of National Stock
As of the 24th of March, National CineMedia secures the Mean Deviation of 2.13, standard deviation of 3.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National CineMedia, as well as the relationship between them.National CineMedia's insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National CineMedia insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National CineMedia's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National CineMedia insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
National CineMedia's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
National CineMedia issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National CineMedia uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National CineMedia has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Understand National CineMedia's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing National CineMedia's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.44) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,100) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.28) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.01 | |||
| Skewness | (1.87) | |||
| Kurtosis | 11.72 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.44) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,100) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.9 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.45) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.28) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.01 | |||
| Skewness | (1.87) | |||
| Kurtosis | 11.72 |
Consider National CineMedia's intraday indicators
National CineMedia intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National CineMedia stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
National CineMedia Corporate Filings
| 21st of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 17th of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 13th of March 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
| 12th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
National Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about National CineMedia that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through National media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via National internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of National data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of National CineMedia news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of National CineMedia relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to National CineMedia's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive National CineMedia alpha.
National CineMedia Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards National CineMedia can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
National CineMedia Corporate Management
| Stacie Tursi | Senior Partnerships | Profile | |
| Julie Patterson | VP Officer | Profile | |
| Ronnie Ng | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Adam Johnson | Senior Planning | Profile | |
| Dave Kupiec | Ex Marketing | Profile | |
| Catherine Sullivan | Marketing, Sales | Profile |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National CineMedia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | Earnings Share (0.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
The market value of National CineMedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National CineMedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National CineMedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National CineMedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National CineMedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between National CineMedia's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if National CineMedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.