Harmony Gold Mining Stock Analysis

HMY Stock  USD 10.88  0.25  2.25%   
Harmony Gold Mining is fairly valued with Real Value of 10.56 and Target Price of 10.76. The main objective of Harmony Gold stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Harmony Gold Mining is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Harmony Gold's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Harmony Gold stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Harmony Gold is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day. Harmony Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Harmony Gold Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Harmony Stock Analysis Notes

About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Harmony Gold was currently reported as 65.77. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of October 2024. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of gold. The company was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Randfontein, South Africa. Harmony Gold operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. To learn more about Harmony Gold Mining call Peter Steenkamp at 27 11 411 2000 or check out https://www.harmony.co.za.

Harmony Gold Mining Investment Alerts

Harmony Gold Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Half Year 2025 Harmoney Corp Ltd Earnings Presentation Transcript

Harmony Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Harmony Gold's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2007-04-25
2007-03-310.090.08-0.0111 
2000-11-09
2000-09-300.10.11430.014314 
2011-10-31
2011-09-300.10.130.0330 
View All Earnings Estimates

Harmony Gold Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Harmony Gold's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Harmony Gold's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Harmony Gold's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Harmony Gold's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Harmony Gold Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Harmony Gold stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Plastics Idea
Plastics
Rubber and plastics accessories
Gold and Gold Mining Idea
Gold and Gold Mining
Stocks, funds, and ETFs that are involved in producing or trading gold across different geographical areas
Compulsion Idea
Compulsion
Addiction driven consumer products and services

Harmony Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Mackenzie Investments2024-12-31
1.6 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
1.5 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Lazard Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
1.2 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
1.2 M
Amundi2024-12-31
1.1 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-12-31
62.9 M
Exor Investments (uk) Llp2024-12-31
20.9 M
Note, although Harmony Gold's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Harmony Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 6.86 B.

Harmony Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.14 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.23 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.23 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.17 
Return On Capital Employed 0.27  0.28 
Return On Assets 0.16  0.17 
Return On Equity 0.24  0.25 

Management Efficiency

Harmony Gold Mining has Return on Asset of 0.1527 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1527 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2292 %, implying that it generated $0.2292 on every 100 dollars invested. Harmony Gold's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Harmony Gold manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to 0.17 in 2025. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.28 in 2025. At this time, Harmony Gold's Non Currrent Assets Other are fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is likely to rise to about 1.1 B in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 36.6 B in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 59.50  45.94 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 59.47  44.36 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.07  6.72 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.93  3.08 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.07  6.72 
Price Fair Value 2.93  3.08 
Enterprise Value35.8 B37.6 B
Harmony Gold Mining has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0156
Operating Margin
0.2309
Profit Margin
0.1399
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0156
Beta
1.303

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of February, Harmony Gold retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0799, downside deviation of 2.72, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.5395. Harmony Gold technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Harmony Gold Mining Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Harmony Gold middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Harmony Gold Mining. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Harmony Gold Outstanding Bonds

Harmony Gold issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Harmony Gold Mining uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Harmony bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Harmony Gold Mining has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Harmony Gold Predictive Daily Indicators

Harmony Gold intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Harmony Gold stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Harmony Gold Corporate Filings

6K
21st of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
12th of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
3rd of February 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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23rd of January 2025
Other Reports
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6K
17th of January 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
29th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
27th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
14th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Harmony Gold Forecast Models

Harmony Gold's time-series forecasting models are one of many Harmony Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Harmony Gold's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Harmony Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Harmony Gold prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Harmony shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Harmony Gold. By using and applying Harmony Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Harmony entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.17  0.18 
Operating Profit Margin 0.22  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 

Current Harmony Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Harmony analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Harmony analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
10.76Hold1Odds
Harmony Gold Mining current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Harmony analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Harmony stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Harmony Gold Mining, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Harmony conference calls.
Harmony Analyst Advice Details

Harmony Stock Analysis Indicators

Harmony Gold Mining stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Harmony Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Harmony Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Harmony Gold stock analysis, traders can identify Harmony Gold position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow2.9 B
Total Stockholder Equity40.8 B
Capital Lease Obligations506 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net41.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments4.7 B
Cash4.7 B
50 Day M A9.9992
Net Interest Income-106 M
Total Current Liabilities7.4 B
Investments-8.4 B
Interest Expense796 M
Stock Based Compensation250 M
Long Term Debt1.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding629.7 M
Tax Provision3.1 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.128
Other Current Assets913 M
Accounts Payable1.1 B
Net Debt-2.4 B
Other Operating Expenses49.7 B
Non Current Assets Total49 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity60.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other7.2 B

Additional Tools for Harmony Stock Analysis

When running Harmony Gold's price analysis, check to measure Harmony Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmony Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Harmony Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmony Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmony Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmony Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.