Assured Guaranty Stock Analysis

AGO Stock  USD 85.38  1.38  1.59%   
Assured Guaranty is fairly valued with Real Value of 87.19 and Target Price of 106.5. The main objective of Assured Guaranty stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Assured Guaranty is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Assured Guaranty's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Assured Guaranty stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Assured Guaranty is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, National Mourning Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Assured Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.

Assured Stock Analysis Notes

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assured Guaranty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.87. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2025. Assured Guaranty had 1:5 split on the December 3, 2010. Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. For more info on Assured Guaranty please contact Dominic Frederico at 441 279 5700 or go to https://www.assuredguaranty.com.

Assured Guaranty Investment Alerts

Assured Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Assured Guaranty has 1.7 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is OK given its current industry classification. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 97.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 19th of March 2025 Assured Guaranty paid $ 0.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Verisk Nominates Christopher Perry and Sabra Purtill to the Companys Board of Directors

Assured Guaranty Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Assured Guaranty to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Assured Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Assured Guaranty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-02-25
2008-12-310.010.040.03300 
2005-02-10
2004-12-310.430.480.0511 
2021-02-25
2020-12-310.620.690.0711 
View All Earnings Estimates

Assured Guaranty Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Assured Guaranty's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Assured Guaranty's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Assured Guaranty's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Assured Guaranty's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Assured Guaranty Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Assured Guaranty stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Insurance Idea
Insurance
USA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French

Assured Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
903.3 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-12-31
806.8 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
797.7 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-12-31
719.2 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-12-31
627.7 K
Norges Bank2024-12-31
560.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
558.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
533.3 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-12-31
488.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
6.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
6.4 M
Note, although Assured Guaranty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Assured Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.26 B.

Assured Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.42 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.58 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.58 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.07 

Management Efficiency

Assured Guaranty has Return on Asset of 0.0281 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0281 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0693 %, implying that it generated $0.0693 on every 100 dollars invested. Assured Guaranty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Assured Guaranty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Assured Guaranty's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.04, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.04. At this time, Assured Guaranty's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of March 2025, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.04, while Intangible Assets are likely to drop about 5.1 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 105.97  111.27 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 105.97  111.27 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.28  3.12 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.86  0.90 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.28  3.12 
Price Fair Value 0.86  0.90 
Enterprise Value1.9 B1.6 B
At Assured Guaranty, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.0159
Operating Margin
0.5786
Profit Margin
0.4182
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0159
Beta
1.105

Technical Drivers

As of the 23rd of March, Assured Guaranty shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 1.52, and Mean Deviation of 1.13. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Assured Guaranty Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Assured Guaranty middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Assured Guaranty. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Assured Guaranty Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Assured Guaranty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Assured Guaranty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Assured Guaranty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Robert Bailenson over a week ago
Disposition of 16303 shares by Robert Bailenson of Assured Guaranty at 90.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Bailenson over two weeks ago
Acquisition by Robert Bailenson of 14061 shares of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Laura Bieling over three weeks ago
Disposition of 407 shares by Laura Bieling of Assured Guaranty at 90.8 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominic Frederico over three weeks ago
Disposition of 21841 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty at 89.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Yukiko Omura over a month ago
Disposition of 1231 shares by Yukiko Omura of Assured Guaranty at 77.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Benjamin Rosenblum over a month ago
Disposition of 1220 shares by Benjamin Rosenblum of Assured Guaranty at 84.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominic Frederico over three months ago
Disposition of 34000 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty at 88.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Robert Bailenson over three months ago
Disposition of 25000 shares by Robert Bailenson of Assured Guaranty at 93.44 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Yukiko Omura over three months ago
Disposition of 10000 shares by Yukiko Omura of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Yukiko Omura over three months ago
Disposition of 3599 shares by Yukiko Omura of Assured Guaranty at 79.73 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominic Frederico over six months ago
Disposition of 18150 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Dominic Frederico over six months ago
Disposition of 3461 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty at 80.56 subject to Rule 16b-3

Assured Guaranty Outstanding Bonds

Assured Guaranty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Assured Guaranty uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Assured bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Assured Guaranty has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Assured Guaranty Predictive Daily Indicators

Assured Guaranty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Assured Guaranty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Assured Guaranty Corporate Filings

19th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
14th of March 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10K
28th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
27th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
26th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
24th of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
21st of February 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
11th of February 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Assured Guaranty Forecast Models

Assured Guaranty's time-series forecasting models are one of many Assured Guaranty's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Assured Guaranty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Assured Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Assured Guaranty prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Assured shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Assured Guaranty. By using and applying Assured Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Assured entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.56  0.46 
Operating Profit Margin 0.66  0.47 
Net Profit Margin 0.43  0.36 
Gross Profit Margin 0.89  0.84 

Current Assured Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Assured analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Assured analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
106.5Buy4Odds
Assured Guaranty current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Analyst Advice Details

Assured Stock Analysis Indicators

Assured Guaranty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Assured Guaranty stock analysis, traders can identify Assured Guaranty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow286 M
Long Term Debt1.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity5.5 B
Tax Provision96 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.947
Property Plant And Equipment Net101 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 B
Cash121 M
Net Debt1.6 B
50 Day M A89.8612
Other Operating Expenses814 M
Non Current Assets Total2.3 B
Forward Price Earnings12.5945
Stock Based Compensation-30 M
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.95)
Dividend Share
1.24
Earnings Share
6.87
Revenue Per Share
16.867
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.