Assured Guaranty Stock Technical Analysis
| AGO Stock | USD 93.28 0.13 0.14% |
As of the 1st of December, Assured Guaranty shows the Mean Deviation of 1.27, risk adjusted performance of 0.126, and Downside Deviation of 1.39. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Assured Guaranty Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Assured, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AssuredAssured |
Assured Guaranty Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 75.0 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Guaranty technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Assured Guaranty Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Assured Guaranty volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Assured Guaranty Trend Analysis
Use this graph to draw trend lines for Assured Guaranty. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Assured Guaranty as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Assured Guaranty price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.Assured Guaranty Best Fit Change Line
The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Assured Guaranty applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of 0.26 , which may imply that Assured Guaranty will maintain its good market sentiment and make money for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 2634.33, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Assured Guaranty price change compared to its average price change.About Assured Guaranty Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Assured Guaranty on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Assured Guaranty based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Assured Guaranty price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Assured Guaranty. By analyzing Assured Guaranty's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Assured Guaranty's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Assured Guaranty specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0163 | 0.0153 | 0.0118 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.73 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
Assured Guaranty December 1, 2024 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Assured help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Assured from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Assured charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.126 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2188 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 634.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.077 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1007 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0943 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2088 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.50) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8865 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.69 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.219 | Dividend Share 1.21 | Earnings Share 12.75 | Revenue Per Share 15.821 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.01 |
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.